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2012-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 9.1% 90.9% -
Bradley-Terry 17.1% 82.9% -
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 25.4% 74.6% -
Efficiency 75.0% 25.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.5% 73.5% -

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys -5 (53-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lyons * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 24 28 -
T. Fletcher * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 2 6 -
T. Broekhuis * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 3 12 15 -
M. Fitzgerald * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 6 10 -
K. Williams * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
K. Green 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
J. Hammonds 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
M. Yon 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
C. Barnhill 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Hempsey 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Cruz * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 7 11 -
J. Luster * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 3 11 18 -
L. Martinez * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 8 13 -
A. Waddell * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 15 17 -
L. Washington * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 1 3 7 16 -
L. Nance Jr. 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 2 10 -
A. Bouedo 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
R. Watsabaugh 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Gilmore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter