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2011-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 0.5% 99.5% -
Bradley-Terry 2.7% 97.3% -
Margin 0.9% 99.1% +26.0 (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 15.9% 84.1% -
Efficiency 8.1% 91.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +10 (70-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fletcher * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 17 22 -
M. Fitzgerald * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 14 15 -
T. Broekhuis * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 9 12 -
T. Stewart * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 12 16 -
M. Lyons * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Earls 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 6 12 -
K. Williams 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 -
C. Carter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Barnhill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
M. Yon 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Hammonds 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
A. Brakeville 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 23 30 -
E. Harris * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 12 19 -
G. Bell Jr. * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 10 12 -
M. Hart * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 5 -
R. Sacre * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 0 1 -
S. Dower 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 3 1 0 16 29 -
D. Stockton 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 5 7 -
M. Carter 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Monninghoff 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Spangler 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
G. Edi 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter