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2012-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 5.4% 94.6% -
Bradley-Terry 8.7% 91.3% -
Margin 8.7% 91.3% +12.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% -
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Broekhuis * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 15 24 -
M. Lyons * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 6 6 -
T. Fletcher * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 12 19 -
M. Fitzgerald * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 14 15 -
K. Williams * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 0 0 2 12 -
J. Hammonds 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Yon 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
C. Carter 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
S. Hempsey 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Kammerer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Thorns * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 22 23 -
K. Anderson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 4 9 -
J.R. Cadot * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 3 0 13 28 -
G. Green * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 7 11 -
A. McKinney * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 1 1 -
C. Williams 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 7 11 -
A. Fields 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 5 9 -
N. Butler Lind 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 3 -
C. Crossland 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter