Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Fisher * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Ardarius Simmons * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Matt Samuels * | 30 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Robinson * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jacobby Anderson | 29 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D'Jari Nelson | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Clarke Rosenberg | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Fletcher * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Taylor Stewart * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kamryn Williams * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Max Yon | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Chris Carter | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Colt Barnhill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter