Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.2% | 1.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +2 (58-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| X. Thames * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| G. Green * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Williams | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Franklin | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Stephens | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Ebrahimian | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Earls | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 38 | 9-19 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 14 | - |
| T. Fletcher * | 34 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Williams * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Yon | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Green | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Barnhill | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Hammonds | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Brakeville | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Kammerer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter