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Virginia Cavaliers

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Virginia Cavaliers
Program History
Coach: Ron Sanchez

2013 Team Stats (5 games)

67.6
PPG
55.6
Opp
+8.6
Margin
48.6%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
74.4%
FT%
34.6
RPG
15.6
APG
11.2
TO
69.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1733 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1633 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1052 (#103) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +38.6 (#19) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +17.8 (#54) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.547 (#49) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +25.4 More → 0.955 (#8) NetEff +25.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.8 More → 0.634 (#48) AdjNet +4.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.1 More → 0.643 (#47) AdjNet +5.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 57.0 More → 0.646 (#72) AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 57.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.868 (#49) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.844 (#49) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 35 More → 1203 (#62) RD 96 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ George Mason Patriots L 59 - 63
2012-11-12 vs Fairfield Stags W 54 - 45
2012-11-13 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 53 - 59
2012-11-17 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 83 - 43
2012-11-19 vs Lamar Cardinals W 63 - 44
2012-11-20 vs North Texas Mean Green W 80 - 64
2012-11-28 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 60 - 54
2012-12-01 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 67 - 51
2012-12-05 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 46 - 38
2012-12-08 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 67 - 39
2012-12-19 vs Morgan State Bears W 75 - 57
2012-12-22 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 61 - 63
2012-12-30 vs Wofford Terriers W 74 - 39
2013-01-06 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 61 - 52
2013-01-09 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 52 - 55
2013-01-12 @ Clemson Tigers L 44 - 59
2013-01-19 vs Florida State Seminoles W 56 - 36
2013-01-24 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 74 - 58
2013-01-26 vs Boston College Eagles W 65 - 51
2013-01-29 vs NC State Wolfpack W 58 - 55
2013-02-03 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 60 - 66
2013-02-07 vs Clemson Tigers W 78 - 41
2013-02-10 @ Maryland Terrapins W 80 - 69
2013-02-12 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 73 - 55
2013-02-16 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 81 - 93
2013-02-19 @ Miami Hurricanes L 50 - 54
2013-02-24 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 82 - 54
2013-02-28 vs Duke Blue Devils W 73 - 68
2013-03-03 @ Boston College Eagles L 52 - 53
2013-03-07 @ Florida State Seminoles L 51 - 53
2013-03-10 vs Maryland Terrapins W 61 - 58
2013-03-15 vs NC State Wolfpack L 56 - 75
2013-03-19 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 67 - 56
2013-03-24 vs St. John's Red Storm W 68 - 50
2013-03-27 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 64 - 75

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Harris J. Harris G 35 32.5 16.3 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.5 2.0 3.1 18.7 76 2.7 6.9 45.9 33.3 79.5 1.82 222.0 52.3
A. Mitchell A. Mitchell F 35 30.5 13.1 8.9 1.5 1.3 0.4 1.8 2.4 21.1 210 6.0 8.5 57.8 0 81.2 1.5 236.9 57.8
J. Anderson J. Anderson G 35 24.0 7.6 3.3 2.3 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.3 12.7 159 4.7 7.1 42.6 21.4 85.7 0.76 265.6 45.7
M. Tobey M. Tobey C 30 13.9 6.8 2.9 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.5 8.6 - - - 56.8 100.0 90.0 0.61 210.7 58.0
E. Nolte E. Nolte F 35 19.8 5.7 2.4 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.6 1.0 8.7 273 7.8 14.6 45.7 43.5 71.4 2.1 260.0 60.0
P. Jesperson P. Jesperson G 35 25.7 4.7 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 6.6 131 3.7 6.6 27.9 34.5 100.0 0.74 188.0 39.5
D. Atkins D. Atkins F 26 15.7 4.7 3.1 0.3 0.4 1.1 0.8 1.2 7.6 83 3.3 8.6 60.0 0 57.1 0.35 182.9 60.0
J. Evans J. Evans G 26 29.0 4.2 2.4 4.8 1.0 0.0 2.4 1.0 9.0 97 3.7 5.2 30.8 0 38.5 0.44 171.8 30.8
T. Jones T. Jones G 30 13.5 2.9 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.9 0.7 3.7 233 9.3 9.3 35.0 25.0 50.0 0.7 192.1 40.0
T. Barnette T. Barnette G 26 9.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 3.2 52 2.0 7.3 60.0 62.5 0 0.27 335.0 85.0
D. Browman D. Browman G 19 6.2 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 1.1 67 3.5 19.1 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.6 26.6 0.0
T. Rogers T. Rogers G 10 2.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.06 0.0 0.0
C. Kirven C. Kirven F 6 2.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG