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2013-03-15

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% -
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.7 (25.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.2% 32.8% -
Log Adjusted 67.0% 33.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -19 (56-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Leslie * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 3 3 17 30 -
L. Brown * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 0 1 9 20 -
S. Wood * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 23 29 -
T.J. Warren * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 18 25 -
R. Howell * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 0 2 6 18 -
T. Lewis 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 2 9 -
R. Purvis 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Cannon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Evans * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 2 0 0 3 15 -
J. Harris * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 13 16 -
A. Mitchell * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 3 2 1 19 34 -
J. Anderson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 3 8 -
M. Tobey * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
P. Jesperson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
E. Nolte 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
T. Barnette 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Atkins 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
T. Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter