Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.7 | ✗ (25.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -19 (56-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Leslie * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 30 | - |
| L. Brown * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| S. Wood * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 29 | - |
| T.J. Warren * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| R. Howell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 18 | - |
| T. Lewis | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| R. Purvis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Cannon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Evans * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - |
| J. Harris * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 34 | - |
| J. Anderson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Tobey * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| P. Jesperson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Nolte | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Barnette | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Atkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter