Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +17.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Bozeman * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| DeWayne Jackson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 31 | - |
| Anthony Hubbard * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ian Chiles * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Thair Heath * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Justin Black | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille Duncan | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Cedric Blossom | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tauron Bailey | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Donte Pretlow | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rasean Simpson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mitchell * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | - |
| P. Jesperson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Atkins * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| T. Jones * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Harris * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Anderson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Barnette | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| E. Nolte | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Tobey | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Browman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Rogers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter