Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +14 (65-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Jackson * | 38 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Olivier Hanlan * | 37 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | -20.4 |
| Joe Rahon * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Ryan Anderson * | 33 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Patrick Heckmann * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Eddie Odio | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11.1 |
| Danny Rubin | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +14.9 |
| Dennis Clifford | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -9.3 |
| Kyle Caudill | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.3 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Jesperson * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | +7.5 |
| Akil Mitchell * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +4.7 |
| Joe Harris * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +11.0 |
| Jontel Evans * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Evan Nolte * | 11 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +6.6 |
| Justin Anderson | 25 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +7.5 |
| Mike Tobey | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +5.4 |
| Doug Browman | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.6 |
* = starter