Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (93-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Evans * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Harris * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 30 | - |
| J. Anderson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| P. Jesperson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| E. Nolte | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Jones | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Atkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Barnette | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Browman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| M. Paige * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| P.J. Hairston * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 37 | - |
| L. McDonald * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | - |
| B. Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Simmons | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| F. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Manor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hubert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter