Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howell * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| S. Wood * | 37 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| T.J. Warren * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Purvis * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Brown * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Leslie | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 14 | - |
| T. Lewis | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Evans * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Harris * | 34 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| P. Jesperson * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Nolte * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Tobey | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Anderson | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Atkins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Browman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter