Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +20 (56-36). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Snaer * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Okaro White * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Terry Whisnant * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -11.1 |
| Montay Brandon * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -9.4 |
| Kiel Turpin * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Terrance Shannon | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Ian Miller | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Aaron Thomas | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Robert Gilchrist | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Devon Bookert | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Boris Bojanovsky | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -8.1 |
| Michael Ojo | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akil Mitchell * | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | +8.2 |
| Joe Harris * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +10.6 |
| Evan Nolte * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +15.6 |
| Jontel Evans * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | +15.3 |
| Paul Jesperson * | 28 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +6.0 |
| Justin Anderson | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +8.0 |
| Mike Tobey | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.6 |
| Teven Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Doug Browman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Caid Kirven | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Thomas Rogers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Taylor Barnette | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter