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2012-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% -
Bradley-Terry 63.3% 36.7% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 86.7% 13.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% -
Log Adjusted 17.3% 82.7% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -6 (54-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Atkins * 35 6-9 0-0 2-3 7 1 1 2 1 14 15 -
J. Harris * 35 8-19 1-7 5-6 5 5 0 0 0 22 13 -
A. Mitchell * 33 3-6 0-0 5-6 10 2 0 0 3 11 14 -
T. Jones * 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 1 4 2 2 -
P. Jesperson * 24 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Nolte 19 2-2 2-2 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 8 10 -
J. Evans 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Anderson 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
M. Tobey 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Brust * 37 6-16 3-9 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 15 3 -
R. Evans * 36 4-12 0-2 0-0 6 1 2 2 0 8 7 -
T. Jackson * 32 2-7 1-1 0-0 4 5 2 0 1 5 8 -
M. Bruesewitz * 30 3-7 0-3 0-1 1 4 0 1 1 6 4 -
J. Berggren * 30 4-8 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 12 5 -
S. Dekker 21 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
G. Marshall 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
F. Kaminsky 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter