Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | +15.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +13.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +9 (54-45). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Needham * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | +0.1 |
| Desmond Wade * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | -2.1 |
| Josip Mikulic * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6.3 |
| Maurice Barrow * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.5 |
| Keith Matthews * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Colin Nickerson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Amadou Sidibe | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Justin Jenkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Marcus Gilbert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.4 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Harris * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 26 | +6.3 |
| Akil Mitchell * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 23 | +5.3 |
| Paul Jesperson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Taylor Barnette * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Darion Atkins * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Evan Nolte | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +11.3 |
| Justin Anderson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +7.8 |
| Mike Tobey | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Doug Browman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +0.0 |
* = starter