Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | +19.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +20.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +16 (80-64). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Mitchell * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 26 | -4.8 |
| Alzee Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -10.0 |
| Jordan Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | -14.3 |
| Chris Jones * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -3.8 |
| Roger Franklin * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -0.6 |
| P.J. Hardwick | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Jacob Holmen | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -8.2 |
| Clarke Overlander | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Keith Coleman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Justin Patton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Niko Stojiljkovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.3 |
| Austin Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darion Atkins * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 22 | +17.1 |
| Teven Jones * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +8.5 |
| Akil Mitchell * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Paul Jesperson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Joe Harris * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +10.3 |
| Evan Nolte | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | +2.6 |
| Justin Anderson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 26 | +2.5 |
| Mike Tobey | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Taylor Barnette | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
* = starter