Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee Volunteers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +8 (46-38). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Tennessee Volunteers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Hall * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2 | +5.2 |
| Skylar McBee * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | -6.7 |
| Josh Richardson * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Jarnell Stokes * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -6.4 |
| Trae Golden * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Jordan McRae | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Yemi Makanjuola | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.9 |
| D'Montre Edwards | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +3.9 |
| Quinton Chievous | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -11.6 |
| Brandon Lopez | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Armani Moore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.2 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akil Mitchell * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +9.4 |
| Joe Harris * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +4.9 |
| Darion Atkins * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +4.0 |
| Paul Jesperson * | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Jontel Evans * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2.7 |
| Teven Jones | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +6.3 |
| Justin Anderson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Evan Nolte | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Mike Tobey | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.3 |
* = starter