Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Marble * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 34 | - |
| Eric May * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Aaron White * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mike Gesell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Anderson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 36 | - |
| J. Harris * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Evans * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| P. Jesperson * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Tobey | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| E. Nolte | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Barnette | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Atkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Browman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter