Tufts
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1299 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1316 (#10) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1205 (#12) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.6 (#7) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.5 (#169) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.857 (#266) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.874 (#192) | AdjNet +16.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.891 (#189) | AdjNet +18.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.753 (#196) | AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.825 (#15) | AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 63.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.847 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.849 (#43) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1358 (#5) | RD 104 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Babson | L | 79 - 83 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Endicott | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Suffolk | W | 54 - 47 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Emerson | W | 84 - 50 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Yeshiva | W | 100 - 94 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | MIT | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Keene St. | W | 82 - 79 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Bridgewater St. | W | 121 - 67 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Lasell | W | 87 - 59 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Saint Vincent | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | W | 117 - 51 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Clark (MA) | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | WPI | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Bowdoin | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Colby | W | 88 - 66 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Williams | W | 65 - 36 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Middlebury | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Connecticut Col. | W | 76 - 73 |
| 2026-01-26 | vs | Wentworth | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Trinity (CT) | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Amherst | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Hamilton | W | 102 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Cuevas | - | 1 | 36.0 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 20 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 47.1 | 50.0 | 90.9 | 3.49 | 64.1 | 52.9 |
| Scott Gyimesi | - | 21 | 30.9 | 15.9 | 9.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 11.7 | 16.4 | 188 | 9.9 | 80.4 | 55.5 | 41.9 | 72.9 | 1.58 | 61.4 | 59.2 |
| Dylan Reilly | - | 12 | 28.1 | 11.5 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 8.6 | 7.2 | 61 | 5.1 | 47.6 | 42.7 | 41.9 | 70.0 | 0.33 | 61.7 | 60.2 |
| Jon Medley | - | 16 | 27.5 | 11.1 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 7.6 | 11.3 | 86 | 5.7 | 39.6 | 43.4 | 28.6 | 68.7 | 3.41 | 55.8 | 49.2 |
| Joshua Bernstein | - | 21 | 23.6 | 10.0 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6.7 | 14.5 | 115 | 6.1 | 54.4 | 65.7 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.46 | 67.7 | 65.7 |
| Kevin Reeves | - | 1 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 30 | 1.9 | 11.3 | 55.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.23 | 53.0 | 55.6 |
| Justas Bardauskas | - | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 50.2 | 60.0 |
| Zion Watt | - | 21 | 24.5 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 6.9 | 8.9 | 115 | 6.1 | 58.7 | 39.3 | 38.3 | 71.8 | -1.15 | 56.4 | 53.4 |
| James Morakis | - | 17 | 16.5 | 7.4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 47 | 2.8 | 74.1 | 38.6 | 17.1 | 70.5 | 0.67 | 46.9 | 41.2 |
| Deacon Baratta | - | 1 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.45 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Ricardo Nieves | - | 21 | 15.9 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 6.3 | 132 | 6.6 | 103.3 | 45.9 | 34.3 | 76.7 | 2.54 | 59.2 | 52.9 |
| Sidney Wooten | - | 17 | 19.3 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 125 | 7.4 | 251.9 | 27.5 | 27.9 | 88.9 | -1.4 | 44.2 | 36.8 |
| Lukas Schmid | - | 11 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 87 | 9.7 | 725.0 | 42.1 | 36.8 | 100.0 | 0.41 | 56.6 | 51.3 |
| Isaac Friedman | - | 9 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 57 | 7.1 | 475.0 | 58.3 | 64.3 | 33.3 | 0.41 | 75.0 | 77.1 |
| Theo Liu | - | 4 | 7.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 47 | 15.7 | 616.4 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.45 | 68.0 | 70.0 |
| Nolan Bessire | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -19 | -1.4 | -6.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Robbie Nyamwaya | - | 16 | 10.5 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 72 | 4.8 | 112.8 | 44.0 | 33.3 | 73.3 | 0.39 | 52.1 | 48.0 |
| Ian Randall | - | 3 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 26 | 8.7 | 990.5 | 75.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.02 | 75.2 | 75.0 |
| Evan Reeves | - | 18 | 7.9 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 18 | 1.1 | 46.7 | 56.7 | 0.0 | 20.0 | -0.17 | 49.0 | 56.7 |
| Griffin Linstra | - | 16 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 49 | 3.3 | 92.6 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.87 | 48.2 | 44.4 |
| Daniel Simmons | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Chris Simonds | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -3.0 | -13 | -1.6 | -25.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG