Amherst
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1157 (#56) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1139 (#79) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1203 (#13) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.1 (#42) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.4 (#217) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.728 (#331) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.692 (#282) | AdjNet +7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.692 (#278) | AdjNet +6.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.586 (#298) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.775 (#45) | AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 57.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.818 (#83) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.824 (#62) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1311 (#16) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Elms | W | 96 - 52 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Springfield | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Sarah Lawrence | W | 80 - 46 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Emmanuel (MA) | W | 77 - 40 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | W | 95 - 53 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | MCLA | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Westfield St. | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2025-12-27 | @ | Whittier | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 62 - 78 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Caltech | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Cal Lutheran | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | W | 53 - 45 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Bates | W | 71 - 50 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Trinity (CT) | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Williams | W | 61 - 45 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Hamilton | W | 65 - 37 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Colby | W | 65 - 64 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Bowdoin | W | 81 - 44 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Tufts | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Connecticut Col. | W | 73 - 54 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Hansen | - | 1 | 30.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | -32 | -1.5 | -11.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 71.4 | 0.81 | 77.1 | 75.0 |
| Scott Gyimesi | - | 1 | 35.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 188 | 9.9 | 80.4 | 46.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.58 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
| Jon Medley | - | 1 | 29.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 86 | 5.7 | 39.6 | 37.5 | 16.7 | 85.7 | 3.41 | 58.7 | 43.8 |
| Zach Wolinski | - | 1 | 36.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 14 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 66.7 | -1.0 | 39.2 | 35.7 |
| Marc Garraud | - | 11 | 27.5 | 11.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 5.6 | 37 | 2.8 | 58.8 | 32.7 | 32.8 | 83.3 | 1.76 | 49.8 | 42.3 |
| Elias Chin | - | 8 | 25.4 | 11.1 | 6.8 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 6.6 | 15.6 | 4 | 0.3 | 6.4 | 52.8 | 54.5 | 77.1 | 3.14 | 65.1 | 58.5 |
| Brady Coyne | - | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | -2.0 | -12 | -0.7 | -4.3 | 26.7 | 18.2 | 0 | -0.75 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Babacar Pouye | - | 1 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 6 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.88 | 42.5 | 35.0 |
| Chris Hammond | - | 18 | 29.6 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 9.4 | 9.2 | 62 | 3.6 | 22.2 | 38.2 | 29.0 | 58.8 | -0.27 | 48.4 | 46.8 |
| Sean O'Leary | - | 1 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 25 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.45 | 84.6 | 75.0 |
| K.J. Neville | - | 11 | 22.2 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 7.4 | 2 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 43.3 | 38.9 | 61.7 | -2.29 | 53.6 | 48.5 |
| Sherron Woodberry | - | 11 | 24.2 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 53 | 3.1 | 24.9 | 42.7 | 42.9 | 75.0 | 1.13 | 61.2 | 60.7 |
| Joshua Bernstein | - | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 115 | 6.1 | 54.4 | 75.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.46 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Zane Adnan | - | 15 | 22.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 5.0 | 61 | 5.1 | 37.2 | 35.1 | 31.6 | 82.6 | 2.77 | 47.5 | 43.2 |
| Nate Pabis | - | 18 | 19.3 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 20 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 43.9 | 34.5 | 65.5 | -2.21 | 54.4 | 52.2 |
| Ricardo Nieves | - | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 132 | 6.6 | 103.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 2.54 | 71.7 | 62.5 |
| Jackson Rein | - | 1 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | -92 | -4.2 | -31.1 | 16.7 | 28.6 | 0.0 | -1.21 | 23.3 | 25.0 |
| Drew Martin | - | 18 | 19.0 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 7.9 | 98 | 5.8 | 40.6 | 54.5 | 23.1 | 77.3 | 5.51 | 60.8 | 56.8 |
| Fritz Hauser | - | 1 | 32.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | -43 | -2.4 | -16.2 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.23 | 32.2 | 16.7 |
| Charlie Moore | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 17 | 1.5 | 34.1 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.45 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jacob Blank | - | 7 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 4.6 | - | - | - | 31.0 | 40.0 | 88.9 | - | 45.5 | 37.9 |
| Peter Psyhogeos | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 45 | 2.6 | 19.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.24 | 42.0 | 33.3 |
| Brandon Margolin | - | 8 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 5.5 | 20 | 1.5 | 35.6 | 64.3 | 0 | 81.2 | 0.89 | 73.7 | 64.3 |
| Oscar Edelman | - | 1 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.6 | 11.1 | 14.3 | 0 | 0.22 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Jaalan Watson | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -19 | -1.0 | -15.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.32 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Solomon Marshall | - | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -25 | -1.9 | -111.3 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.96 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Zion Watt | - | 1 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 115 | 6.1 | 58.7 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.15 | 13.8 | 10.0 |
| Johnny McCain | - | 8 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 23 | 2.6 | 81.4 | 36.8 | 36.8 | 50.0 | 0.17 | 55.3 | 55.3 |
| Ryan Hempfling | - | 6 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.3 | 42.7 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 1.35 | 55.5 | 35.0 |
| Wes Gudeman | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.19 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| EJ Sommers | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -43 | -2.4 | -32.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.54 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Hunter Fleming | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -16 | -1.6 | -59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Chiwer Mayen | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.18 | 0 | 0 |
| David Omasombo | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57 | 4.8 | 138.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Isiaha Dickens | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -0.6 | -13.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.96 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty Kuehl | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -0.9 | -35.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Shepherd | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -3.0 | -43 | -2.4 | -118.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Griffin Linstra | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49 | 3.3 | 92.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.87 | 0 | 0 |
| Robbie Nyamwaya | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 72 | 4.8 | 112.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Evan Reeves | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18 | 1.1 | 46.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG