🐻⬇️🏀

Amherst

Also known as: Amherst
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1157 (#56) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1139 (#79) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1203 (#13) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +7.1 (#42) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +11.4 (#217) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.728 (#331) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.0 More → 0.692 (#282) AdjNet +7.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.9 More → 0.692 (#278) AdjNet +6.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 66.0 More → 0.586 (#298) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 66.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 57.3 More → 0.775 (#45) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 57.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.818 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.824 (#62) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 1311 (#16) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Rutgers-Camden W 68 - 53
2025-11-15 vs Elms W 96 - 52
2025-11-18 @ Springfield L 64 - 70
2025-11-22 @ Sarah Lawrence W 80 - 46
2025-11-25 vs Emmanuel (MA) W 77 - 40
2025-11-30 vs Mt. St. Mary (NY) W 95 - 53
2025-12-03 vs MCLA W 82 - 62
2025-12-06 vs Westfield St. W 69 - 65
2025-12-27 @ Whittier L 67 - 70
2025-12-28 @ Ohio Northern L 62 - 78
2025-12-30 @ Caltech W 80 - 64
2025-12-31 @ Cal Lutheran W 71 - 63
2026-01-04 vs Wesleyan (CT) W 53 - 45
2026-01-09 vs Bates W 71 - 50
2026-01-16 @ Trinity (CT) L 67 - 75
2026-01-17 @ Wesleyan (CT) L 60 - 65
2026-01-21 vs Williams W 61 - 45
2026-01-24 vs Hamilton W 65 - 37
2026-01-30 vs Colby W 65 - 64
2026-01-31 vs Bowdoin W 81 - 44
2026-02-06 vs Tufts W 65 - 62
2026-02-07 vs Connecticut Col. W 73 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hudson Hansen - 1 30.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 13.0 -32 -1.5 -11.0 66.7 50.0 71.4 0.81 77.1 75.0
Scott Gyimesi - 1 35.0 14.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 13.0 10.0 188 9.9 80.4 46.2 33.3 0 1.58 53.8 53.8
Jon Medley - 1 29.0 13.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 11.0 86 5.7 39.6 37.5 16.7 85.7 3.41 58.7 43.8
Zach Wolinski - 1 36.0 12.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 2.0 14 0.8 4.8 28.6 28.6 66.7 -1.0 39.2 35.7
Marc Garraud - 11 27.5 11.6 2.0 1.9 1.9 0.1 1.9 10.0 5.6 37 2.8 58.8 32.7 32.8 83.3 1.76 49.8 42.3
Elias Chin - 8 25.4 11.1 6.8 4.4 0.6 1.0 1.6 6.6 15.6 4 0.3 6.4 52.8 54.5 77.1 3.14 65.1 58.5
Brady Coyne - 1 26.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 -2.0 -12 -0.7 -4.3 26.7 18.2 0 -0.75 33.3 33.3
Babacar Pouye - 1 27.0 10.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 10.0 7.0 6 0.4 3.6 30.0 25.0 75.0 -0.88 42.5 35.0
Chris Hammond - 18 29.6 9.9 6.9 1.2 1.3 0.6 1.2 9.4 9.2 62 3.6 22.2 38.2 29.0 58.8 -0.27 48.4 46.8
Sean O'Leary - 1 29.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 25 1.5 10.0 75.0 0 100.0 -1.45 84.6 75.0
K.J. Neville - 11 22.2 8.5 2.7 2.5 1.2 0.2 1.6 6.1 7.4 2 0.2 3.5 43.3 38.9 61.7 -2.29 53.6 48.5
Sherron Woodberry - 11 24.2 8.5 2.6 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.3 6.8 5.8 53 3.1 24.9 42.7 42.9 75.0 1.13 61.2 60.7
Joshua Bernstein - 1 28.0 8.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 15.0 115 6.1 54.4 75.0 0 100.0 0.46 82.0 75.0
Zane Adnan - 15 22.2 7.7 2.7 1.9 1.1 0.1 1.1 7.4 5.0 61 5.1 37.2 35.1 31.6 82.6 2.77 47.5 43.2
Nate Pabis - 18 19.3 7.7 3.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.1 6.3 5.2 20 1.2 13.7 43.9 34.5 65.5 -2.21 54.4 52.2
Ricardo Nieves - 1 20.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 132 6.6 103.3 50.0 50.0 100.0 2.54 71.7 62.5
Jackson Rein - 1 34.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 0.0 -92 -4.2 -31.1 16.7 28.6 0.0 -1.21 23.3 25.0
Drew Martin - 18 19.0 5.1 5.1 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 3.7 7.9 98 5.8 40.6 54.5 23.1 77.3 5.51 60.8 56.8
Fritz Hauser - 1 32.0 5.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 -43 -2.4 -16.2 16.7 0.0 75.0 1.23 32.2 16.7
Charlie Moore - 1 18.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 17 1.5 34.1 40.0 33.3 0 -0.45 50.0 50.0
Jacob Blank - 7 13.9 4.3 3.3 1.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 4.1 4.6 - - - 31.0 40.0 88.9 - 45.5 37.9
Peter Psyhogeos - 1 19.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 45 2.6 19.7 33.3 0 50.0 1.24 42.0 33.3
Brandon Margolin - 8 8.4 3.9 2.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.5 1.8 5.5 20 1.5 35.6 64.3 0 81.2 0.89 73.7 64.3
Oscar Edelman - 1 27.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 -1.0 -4 -0.2 -1.6 11.1 14.3 0 0.22 16.7 16.7
Jaalan Watson - 1 10.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -19 -1.0 -15.0 33.3 0 50.0 0.32 38.7 33.3
Solomon Marshall - 1 13.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -25 -1.9 -111.3 25.0 50.0 0 -0.96 37.5 37.5
Zion Watt - 1 31.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 1.0 115 6.1 58.7 10.0 0.0 50.0 -1.15 13.8 10.0
Johnny McCain - 8 8.6 2.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.4 0.8 23 2.6 81.4 36.8 36.8 50.0 0.17 55.3 55.3
Ryan Hempfling - 6 5.3 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.2 8 1.3 42.7 30.0 33.3 100.0 1.35 55.5 35.0
Wes Gudeman - 1 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1 0.1 1.3 100.0 0 0 2.19 100.0 100.0
EJ Sommers - 1 12.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 -43 -2.4 -32.5 100.0 0 0 -0.54 100.0 100.0
Hunter Fleming - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -16 -1.6 -59.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.89 0.0 0.0
Chiwer Mayen - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11 0.6 13.1 0 0 0 -1.18 0 0
David Omasombo - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 57 4.8 138.3 0 0 0 1.01 0 0
Isiaha Dickens - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -12 -0.6 -13.1 0 0 0 0.96 0 0
Ty Kuehl - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -10 -0.9 -35.6 0 0 0 1.48 0 0
Dylan Shepherd - 1 13.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -3.0 -43 -2.4 -118.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.68 0.0 0.0
Griffin Linstra - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 49 3.3 92.6 0 0 0 0.87 0 0
Robbie Nyamwaya - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 72 4.8 112.8 0.0 0.0 0 0.39 0.0 0.0
Evan Reeves - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 18 1.1 46.7 0 0 0 -0.17 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG