Middlebury
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 903 (#523) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 987 (#393) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 925 (#644) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.2 (#243) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.5 (#447) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.348 (#568) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.448 (#377) | AdjNet -1.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.443 (#378) | AdjNet -2.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.468 (#373) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 76.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.487 (#438) | AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.389 (#502) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.393 (#500) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 948 (#433) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Skidmore | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Union (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Stevens | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Rensselaer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Rochester (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Medgar Evers | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Lasell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | WPI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Trinity (CT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Connecticut Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Tufts | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Keene St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Williams | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | CCNY | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | Bates | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | VTSU-Johnson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Bowdoin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Colby | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Babacar Pouye | - | 1 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 6 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 72.7 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 0.33 | 92.6 | 95.5 |
| Nikola Dimitrijevic | - | 1 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | -25 | -1.7 | -4.3 | 52.9 | 25.0 | 33.3 | -0.71 | 54.6 | 55.9 |
| Kevin Reeves | - | 1 | 25.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 30 | 1.9 | 11.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.52 | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| Dominic Ducree | - | 14 | 22.5 | 16.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 11.4 | 7.6 | -21 | -2.6 | -7.7 | 44.7 | 47.7 | 78.8 | -0.82 | 61.9 | 57.9 |
| Brady Coyne | - | 1 | 28.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | -12 | -0.7 | -4.3 | 36.4 | 42.9 | 71.4 | -0.33 | 56.8 | 50.0 |
| Greg Cantwell | - | 1 | 31.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | -7 | -0.4 | -2.9 | 41.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.03 | 54.5 | 45.8 |
| Ray Cuevas | - | 1 | 34.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 20 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 2.58 | 59.5 | 55.0 |
| Kuba Cwalina | - | 14 | 21.3 | 12.7 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 10.1 | 5.0 | -38 | -2.1 | -22.2 | 42.3 | 39.6 | 74.1 | -2.24 | 57.8 | 55.6 |
| Ian Murray | - | 18 | 25.7 | 12.3 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 9.3 | 8.4 | -75 | -3.6 | -21.4 | 44.9 | 29.0 | 67.9 | -3.27 | 54.9 | 50.3 |
| Garrett Clar | - | 1 | 31.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 1.95 | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| Peter Psyhogeos | - | 1 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 45 | 2.6 | 19.7 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.6 | 56.4 | 43.8 |
| Nolan Casey | - | 1 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | -54 | -3.2 | -15.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.38 | 87.0 | 100.0 |
| Ian Brown | - | 1 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -39 | -2.6 | -15.8 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -2.59 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Quron Zene | - | 1 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 22 | 2.4 | 93.6 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 2.53 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Justas Bardauskas | - | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 100.0 | 0.0 | - | 57.1 | 64.3 |
| Evan Flaks | - | 14 | 20.5 | 8.9 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 5.2 | -39 | -2.2 | -27.6 | 42.6 | 42.2 | 80.0 | -0.92 | 55.8 | 52.0 |
| Edward Witherington | - | 17 | 22.7 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 7.4 | 7.8 | -15 | -0.8 | -4.9 | 40.8 | 25.4 | 82.8 | 3.09 | 51.2 | 46.8 |
| Devin Merker | - | 4 | 8.5 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 20 | 5.0 | 47.1 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 1.43 | 60.9 | 61.1 |
| Sawyer Ramey | - | 14 | 19.7 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 16 | 0.9 | 9.7 | 41.7 | 22.6 | 84.6 | 3.08 | 50.2 | 46.5 |
| Jackson McKersie | - | 16 | 14.5 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 57.6 | 0 | 61.3 | 2.05 | 59.9 | 57.6 |
| Justin Fuerbacher | - | 18 | 21.6 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 38.6 | 26.2 | 46.7 | 0.58 | 45.9 | 44.9 |
| Evan Mirazimi | - | 1 | 33.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 14 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 4.3 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Elias Espinosa | - | 1 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -27 | -1.6 | -12.1 | 28.6 | 20.0 | 0 | -1.17 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Nolan Bessire | - | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -19 | -1.4 | -6.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Henry Morrison | - | 15 | 8.5 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 3.5 | -13 | -0.8 | -58.8 | 64.0 | 66.7 | 62.5 | -1.13 | 71.8 | 72.0 |
| Aidan Lawlor | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 42 | 4.7 | 26.5 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.67 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sean O'Leary | - | 1 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 25 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 3.15 | 31.5 | 0.0 |
| Mark Newell | - | 18 | 17.0 | 2.8 | 6.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 7.7 | -38 | -1.8 | -15.7 | 41.3 | 0 | 37.5 | 0.17 | 41.6 | 41.3 |
| Chiwer Mayen | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 13.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Isaac Higgs | - | 1 | 32.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.26 | 13.4 | 14.3 |
| Donovan Lee | - | 16 | 9.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | -9 | -0.5 | -11.3 | 30.6 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0.49 | 35.1 | 34.7 |
| Oliver Urena | - | 8 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | -7 | -0.7 | -10.5 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.34 | 15.0 | 7.1 |
| Rayanns Joseph | - | 4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.8 | 248.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ben Leach | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -1.4 | -25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Maxwell Alberts | - | 3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.3 | 3 | 1.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alex Gklaros-Stavropoulos | - | 3 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2 | 1.0 | 49.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin Imani | - | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.2 | -2 | -0.5 | -165.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
| Dylan Bronner | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG