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Middlebury

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Middlebury
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 947 (#472) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1003 (#378) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 925 (#644) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -1.5 (#140) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -5.5 (#447) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.348 (#568) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.8 More → 0.448 (#377) AdjNet -1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.0 More → 0.443 (#378) AdjNet -2.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 76.4 More → 0.468 (#373) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 76.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 76.9 More → 0.487 (#438) AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 76.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.389 (#502) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.393 (#500) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 948 (#440) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Skidmore L 87 - 91
2025-11-20 vs Union (NY) W 73 - 72
2025-11-22 @ Stevens W 87 - 74
2025-11-25 @ Plattsburgh St. W 92 - 89
2025-11-30 vs Rensselaer W 81 - 75
2025-12-06 @ Rochester (NY) L 77 - 79
2025-12-07 vs Carnegie Mellon L 57 - 70
2025-12-28 @ Wheaton (MA) L 78 - 82
2025-12-29 @ Medgar Evers W 91 - 47
2026-01-02 vs Lasell W 102 - 96
2026-01-06 @ WPI L 57 - 85
2026-01-09 vs Trinity (CT) L 62 - 79
2026-01-10 vs Wesleyan (CT) L 62 - 86
2026-01-16 @ Connecticut Col. L 66 - 78
2026-01-17 @ Tufts L 62 - 75
2026-01-19 vs Keene St. L 87 - 89
2026-01-24 vs Williams W 76 - 73
2026-01-28 @ CCNY L 66 - 69
2026-02-01 @ Bates L 71 - 89
2026-02-03 vs VTSU-Johnson W 97 - 76
2026-02-06 @ Bowdoin L 76 - 77
2026-02-07 @ Colby L 71 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Babacar Pouye - 1 24.0 22.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 11.0 19.0 6 0.4 3.6 72.7 71.4 50.0 -0.88 92.6 95.5
Nikola Dimitrijevic - 1 31.0 20.0 12.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 15.0 -25 -1.7 -4.3 52.9 25.0 33.3 -0.13 54.6 55.9
Kevin Reeves - 1 25.0 17.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 12.0 11.0 30 1.9 11.3 66.7 0 100.0 0.23 68.3 66.7
Dominic Ducree - 14 22.5 16.1 3.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.0 11.4 7.6 -21 -2.6 -7.7 44.7 47.7 78.8 -0.84 61.9 57.9
Brady Coyne - 1 28.0 16.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 11.0 -12 -0.7 -4.3 36.4 42.9 71.4 -0.75 56.8 50.0
Greg Cantwell - 1 31.0 15.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 8.0 -7 -0.4 -2.9 41.7 33.3 100.0 -0.42 54.5 45.8
Ray Cuevas - 1 34.0 14.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 10.0 20 1.2 4.8 50.0 20.0 75.0 3.49 59.5 55.0
Kuba Cwalina - 14 21.3 12.7 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 1.2 10.1 5.0 -38 -2.1 -22.2 42.3 39.6 74.1 0.83 57.8 55.6
Ian Murray - 18 25.7 12.3 4.3 2.6 0.5 0.2 2.1 9.3 8.4 -75 -3.6 -21.4 44.9 29.0 67.9 -0.25 54.9 50.3
Garrett Clar - 1 31.0 12.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 17.0 5 0.3 2.8 66.7 66.7 100.0 -0.56 106.4 100.0
Nolan Casey - 1 17.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 13.0 -54 -3.2 -15.6 100.0 0 33.3 1.54 87.0 100.0
Peter Psyhogeos - 1 22.0 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 8.0 45 2.6 19.7 37.5 25.0 100.0 1.24 56.4 43.8
Ian Brown - 1 17.0 10.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 -39 -2.6 -15.8 50.0 100.0 100.0 -2.43 72.7 66.7
Quron Zene - 1 12.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 22 2.4 93.6 57.1 50.0 0 -0.83 71.4 71.4
Justas Bardauskas - 1 20.0 9.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 9.0 - - - 57.1 100.0 0.0 - 57.1 64.3
Evan Flaks - 14 20.5 8.9 2.2 2.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 7.2 5.2 -39 -2.2 -27.6 42.6 42.2 80.0 0.24 55.8 52.0
Edward Witherington - 17 22.7 8.3 5.6 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.7 7.4 7.8 -15 -0.8 -4.9 40.8 25.4 82.8 2.8 51.2 46.8
Devin Merker - 4 8.5 5.8 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 4.5 3.5 20 5.0 47.1 50.0 33.3 50.0 2.33 60.9 61.1
Sawyer Ramey - 14 19.7 5.6 3.2 3.0 0.9 0.1 1.1 5.1 6.5 16 0.9 9.7 41.7 22.6 84.6 1.39 50.2 46.5
Jackson McKersie - 16 14.5 5.4 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 3.7 5.9 2 0.1 0.9 57.6 0 61.3 1.99 59.9 57.6
Justin Fuerbacher - 18 21.6 5.2 3.7 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.9 4.9 5.5 4 0.2 1.4 38.6 26.2 46.7 -1.77 45.9 44.9
Evan Mirazimi - 1 33.0 5.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 14 0.9 2.3 28.6 33.3 0 2.57 35.7 35.7
Elias Espinosa - 1 26.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 -27 -1.6 -12.1 28.6 20.0 0 0.29 35.7 35.7
Nolan Bessire - 1 15.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 -19 -1.4 -6.8 50.0 0 0 -1.0 50.0 50.0
Henry Morrison - 15 8.5 3.1 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.5 -13 -0.8 -58.8 64.0 66.7 62.5 0.68 71.8 72.0
Aidan Lawlor - 1 11.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 42 4.7 26.5 33.3 33.3 0 2.75 50.0 50.0
Sean O'Leary - 1 26.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 25 1.5 10.0 0.0 0 75.0 -1.45 31.5 0.0
Mark Newell - 18 17.0 2.8 6.8 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.7 2.6 7.7 -38 -1.8 -15.7 41.3 0 37.5 -3.28 41.6 41.3
Isaac Higgs - 1 32.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 0 0.0 0.0 14.3 0.0 0.0 -0.5 13.4 14.3
Chiwer Mayen - 1 7.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 11 0.6 13.1 100.0 0 0 -1.18 100.0 100.0
Donovan Lee - 16 9.1 1.8 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.2 0.6 -9 -0.5 -11.3 30.6 16.7 33.3 -0.86 35.1 34.7
Oliver Urena - 8 7.3 0.6 1.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.8 0.9 -7 -0.7 -10.5 7.1 0.0 50.0 -1.22 15.0 7.1
Rayanns Joseph - 4 2.2 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 3 0.8 248.3 50.0 0 0 -0.01 50.0 50.0
Maxwell Alberts - 3 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.3 3 1.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.51 0.0 0.0
Alex Gklaros-Stavropoulos - 3 1.6 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2 1.0 49.5 0 0 0 0.46 0 0
Benjamin Imani - 4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.2 -2 -0.5 -165.5 0 0 0.0 -0.01 0.0 0
Dylan Bronner - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -2 -0.2 -1.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.27 0.0 0.0
Ben Leach - 1 7.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -11 -1.4 -25.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.9 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG