Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 875 (#562) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 941 (#441) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 868 (#707) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.0 (#214) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.1 (#530) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.189 (#672) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.140 (#591) | AdjNet -15.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.137 (#590) | AdjNet -15.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.256 (#586) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 82.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.373 (#605) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 75.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.272 (#601) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.275 (#614) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 883 (#499) | RD 102 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Harvard | L | 50 - 79 |
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Wentworth | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Endicott | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Salem St. | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Framingham St. | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Fitchburg St. | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Tufts | L | 67 - 74 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Bowdoin | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Clark (MA) | L | 68 - 84 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Salve Regina | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Springfield | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | W | 60 - 55 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Emerson | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | WPI | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Babson | L | 51 - 80 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Coast Guard | L | 80 - 87 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Clark (MA) | L | 67 - 90 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Springfield | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Salve Regina | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | L | 83 - 84 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Emerson | W | 86 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Jackson | - | 1 | 33.0 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | -3 | -0.8 | -1.6 | 52.9 | 60.0 | 61.5 | 0.61 | 63.8 | 61.8 |
| Omri Merryman | - | 1 | 37.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 11 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 38.9 | 40.0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | 48.8 | 50.0 |
| Colin Mannke | - | 1 | 30.0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | -69 | -5.3 | -32.0 | 35.7 | 37.5 | 75.0 | -0.79 | 50.8 | 46.4 |
| Jamel Walker | - | 1 | 37.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 28 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 0.26 | 55.0 | 45.5 |
| Isaac Dobie | - | 17 | 28.4 | 13.5 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 11.4 | 5.9 | -58 | -3.6 | -17.9 | 39.2 | 27.7 | 64.6 | -1.9 | 50.1 | 45.9 |
| Parker Spann | - | 12 | 31.8 | 12.7 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 10.3 | 9.6 | -49 | -4.1 | -10.2 | 47.6 | 30.0 | 52.8 | 0.61 | 51.6 | 50.0 |
| Michael Zhang | - | 17 | 28.7 | 11.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 10.9 | 2.4 | -15 | -0.9 | -3.9 | 36.6 | 32.2 | 75.0 | 0.55 | 48.3 | 46.5 |
| Domonick Victor | - | 1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | -5 | -0.7 | -6.7 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 1.44 | 52.7 | 55.0 |
| Duvall Price | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 57.1 | -0.11 | 45.5 | 38.9 |
| Russell Dolabany | - | 1 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | -65 | -4.6 | -29.0 | 30.8 | 12.5 | 66.7 | 1.02 | 38.4 | 34.6 |
| Raheim Orleans | - | 1 | 32.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | 20 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.01 | 74.0 | 100.0 |
| Vondre Chase | - | 1 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | -27 | -2.1 | -11.6 | 28.6 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.17 | 57.1 | 42.9 |
| Wellbi Perez Valera | - | 1 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 12 | 6.0 | 230.4 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.67 | 74.0 | 80.0 |
| Nicolas Von Zboray | - | 1 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 30 | 2.5 | 19.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 4.59 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Wyatt Mowery | - | 19 | 24.7 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 8.1 | -59 | -3.3 | -14.0 | 37.1 | 32.9 | 86.1 | -1.97 | 48.7 | 44.0 |
| Jackson Weiland | - | 7 | 31.8 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 6.3 | 9.1 | 12 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 50.0 | 43.8 | 80.0 | 0.32 | 62.3 | 58.0 |
| Dylan Olson | - | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | -45 | -3.2 | -19.6 | 44.4 | 20.0 | 0 | 1.17 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Rome Delgado-Gonzalez | - | 19 | 34.7 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 7.6 | -21 | -1.2 | -3.7 | 38.9 | 34.4 | 91.1 | 2.27 | 54.4 | 46.9 |
| Sean Racette | - | 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -42 | -4.2 | -127.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 83.3 | -0.51 | 62.1 | 33.3 |
| Merlin Gogolin | - | 19 | 15.9 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 4.6 | -33 | -1.8 | -12.2 | 47.7 | 28.6 | 60.0 | 1.77 | 51.7 | 48.9 |
| Will Bland | - | 2 | 16.9 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | - | 55.7 | 61.1 |
| Mike Ewing | - | 14 | 21.4 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 3.7 | -32 | -2.5 | -16.8 | 40.9 | 32.4 | 75.0 | -0.39 | 51.9 | 49.2 |
| Jeremiah Simeon | - | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.6 | -8.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.56 | 34.2 | 16.7 |
| Woods Windham | - | 11 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 5.2 | -54 | -4.9 | -27.2 | 45.9 | 20.0 | 56.2 | -1.2 | 50.0 | 47.3 |
| Paulius Karvelis | - | 2 | 12.6 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | -1 | -0.5 | -2.4 | 14.3 | 25.0 | 83.3 | 0.79 | 41.5 | 21.4 |
| Wil Martinez | - | 1 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 51 | 3.4 | 19.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Andy Weeman | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -46 | -3.5 | -36.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.2 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Daniel Allen | - | 2 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Henry Marshall | - | 12 | 8.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | -74 | -6.7 | -109.0 | 36.8 | 35.7 | 83.3 | -4.75 | 55.5 | 50.0 |
| Makyle Hayes | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -39 | -3.2 | -80.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Josh Saint Jean | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -7.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.71 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Takoma Rosario | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.45 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Dusan Dobric | - | 1 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Chase Mello | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -42 | -3.2 | -30.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.55 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Samuel Chen | - | 15 | 12.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | -19 | -1.5 | -5.6 | 18.8 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -0.05 | 25.9 | 25.0 |
| Steven Jean-Louis | - | 1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -3 | -1.0 | -9.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.19 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Batuhan Goktas | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 20 | 6.7 | 67.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.93 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Michael Makiej | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21 | 1.4 | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.84 | 0 | 0 |
| Nelson Obarisiagbon | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 46 | 3.5 | 36.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.87 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Benjamin Eshun | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Fallou Koite | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -51 | -3.9 | -23.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ja'Quin Taylor | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 8 | 1.0 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.63 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Thomas Engel-Chatten | - | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -30 | -3.8 | -21.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tyriek Williams | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -13 | -1.6 | -11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Yusuf Young | - | 1 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aiden Flaherty | - | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -3.0 | -18 | -1.5 | -29.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hunter Larson | - | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG