Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1173 (#43) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1235 (#28) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1178 (#30) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.2 (#25) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.2 (#259) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.851 (#273) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.839 (#218) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.818 (#225) | AdjNet +12.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.685 (#237) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 62.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.713 (#98) | AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.753 (#146) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.755 (#129) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1313 (#15) | RD 103 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Lasell | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Worcester St. | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | W | 94 - 77 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | St. Joseph's (ME) | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Keene St. | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Fitchburg St. | W | 85 - 65 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Babson | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Clark (MA) | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | St. Lawrence | W | 72 - 66 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Tufts | L | 52 - 70 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Middlebury | W | 85 - 57 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Springfield | W | 99 - 53 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Salve Regina | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Coast Guard | W | 69 - 53 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | MIT | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Emerson | W | 84 - 55 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Babson | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Clark (MA) | L | 76 - 86 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Springfield | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 70 - 58 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sablon | - | 1 | 31.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | -10 | -0.7 | -3.5 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.4 | 67.6 | 68.8 |
| Nathan Bledsoe | - | 19 | 30.2 | 15.5 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 10.5 | 12.0 | 105 | 5.8 | 21.9 | 46.0 | 38.5 | 91.7 | -0.43 | 64.9 | 59.8 |
| Justin Molen | - | 18 | 30.9 | 14.6 | 6.6 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 10.8 | 13.9 | 151 | 8.4 | 31.7 | 49.2 | 42.6 | 63.8 | 2.33 | 58.1 | 55.9 |
| Tim Reidy | - | 18 | 28.5 | 14.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 9.8 | 6.6 | 72 | 4.0 | 16.1 | 46.9 | 40.6 | 89.7 | -1.9 | 65.2 | 61.6 |
| Johnny Annan | - | 1 | 30.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -12 | -0.7 | -3.8 | 83.3 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.31 | 81.0 | 83.3 |
| Timmy Mulvey | - | 1 | 38.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 91 | 5.7 | 20.8 | 37.5 | 16.7 | 0 | 1.68 | 40.6 | 40.6 |
| J.R. Newman | - | 19 | 30.2 | 10.1 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 8.7 | 7.1 | 101 | 5.6 | 22.6 | 41.2 | 17.1 | 80.3 | -0.22 | 50.0 | 43.3 |
| Thomas Ferdinando | - | 1 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 82 | 5.1 | 21.4 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.99 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dajon Burton | - | 1 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -77 | -4.3 | -28.5 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.37 | 46.7 | 42.9 |
| Joe Okla | - | 1 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.4 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Timmy O'Toole | - | 1 | 33.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 107 | 6.7 | 37.1 | 37.5 | 0 | 100.0 | 4.85 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Jack Bleier | - | 19 | 17.4 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 128 | 7.1 | 59.7 | 41.8 | 26.2 | 88.2 | 0.71 | 53.2 | 46.8 |
| Logan Murphy | - | 1 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 95 | 5.9 | 33.7 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -1.19 | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Jaydon Buckle | - | 1 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 33 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.34 | 37.7 | 25.0 |
| Daniel Wondie | - | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -40 | -2.2 | -10.2 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Nicholas Margetson | - | 19 | 26.4 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 6.6 | 100 | 5.6 | 27.2 | 45.8 | 23.8 | 70.0 | -1.06 | 52.6 | 49.3 |
| Tao Schreiber | - | 18 | 12.3 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 75 | 4.2 | 39.1 | 34.9 | 18.8 | 80.0 | 3.08 | 47.8 | 37.3 |
| Ryan Vedovelli | - | 5 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 6 | 1.2 | 100.7 | 41.7 | 25.0 | 83.3 | 0.03 | 60.8 | 45.8 |
| Tyler Lauder | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 84 | 5.2 | 25.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 4.48 | 60.2 | 50.0 |
| Da'Shaun Phillips | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -13 | -1.9 | -45.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.12 | 39.9 | 0.0 |
| Matt Morvillo | - | 18 | 10.2 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 5.2 | 33 | 1.9 | 26.3 | 58.8 | 60.0 | 45.5 | 0.52 | 60.7 | 63.2 |
| Chris Daniels | - | 6 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 0.5 | 327.3 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.24 | 72.7 | 72.2 |
| Ayme Daguilh | - | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -73 | -4.3 | -39.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.49 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Camdyn Shoesmith | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -78 | -4.6 | -39.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.28 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Oliver Hibbard | - | 13 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 0.3 | 7.8 | 47.1 | 33.3 | 40.0 | -0.19 | 49.5 | 50.0 |
| Adam Patterson | - | 12 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.7 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.75 | 53.7 | 46.7 |
| Alec Scarborough | - | 7 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.78 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Yigit Sari | - | 6 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.4 | 218.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.24 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Joe Pebley | - | 12 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | -20 | -2.0 | -152.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.72 | 36.2 | 0.0 |
| Patrick Madden | - | 2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -1.5 | -327.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Daleba | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -92 | -5.4 | -42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.68 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shawn Hebert | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.4 | -6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeke Noelsaint | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -15 | -1.4 | -47.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.82 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG