Colby
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1195 (#26) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1238 (#26) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1114 (#71) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.0 (#72) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.1 (#301) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.560 (#430) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.519 (#350) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.514 (#347) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.509 (#346) | AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 77.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.660 (#136) | AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 69.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.663 (#244) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.670 (#234) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1220 (#53) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Rivier | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Thomas (ME) | W | 96 - 73 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Suffolk | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Endicott | W | 93 - 89 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Lasell | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Me.-Fort Kent | W | 81 - 62 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | St. Joseph's (ME) | L | 81 - 82 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Maine Maritime | W | 84 - 58 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Springfield | W | 81 - 67 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | SUNY Oneonta | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Bates | L | 72 - 90 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Connecticut Col. | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Tufts | L | 66 - 88 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Bowdoin | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | Bates | L | 84 - 89 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Husson | W | 96 - 69 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Bowdoin | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Amherst | L | 64 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Hamilton | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Williams | W | 64 - 52 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Middlebury | W | 83 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Babacar Pouye | - | 1 | 28.0 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 6 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 55.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.88 | 66.2 | 63.9 |
| Dan Civello | - | 20 | 26.6 | 18.4 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 13.1 | 13.8 | 94 | 4.9 | 36.7 | 53.8 | 42.5 | 75.9 | 3.88 | 64.4 | 62.4 |
| K.J. Neville | - | 1 | 27.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 88.9 | -2.29 | 68.4 | 50.0 |
| Marc Garraud | - | 1 | 30.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 37 | 2.8 | 58.8 | 35.7 | 30.0 | 0 | 1.76 | 46.4 | 46.4 |
| Max Poulton | - | 20 | 28.1 | 11.8 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 9.4 | 10.6 | 150 | 7.9 | 47.1 | 43.6 | 32.8 | 91.7 | 0.62 | 58.1 | 54.3 |
| Sam Hinman | - | 20 | 25.6 | 11.4 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 10.0 | 6.2 | 95 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 35.4 | 80.6 | -1.36 | 52.8 | 49.8 |
| Sean O'Leary | - | 1 | 34.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 25 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.45 | 79.9 | 75.0 |
| Drew Martin | - | 1 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 98 | 5.8 | 40.6 | 57.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 5.51 | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Chiwer Mayen | - | 1 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 13.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.18 | 85.0 | 100.0 |
| Elias Chin | - | 1 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 6.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 3.14 | 44.1 | 25.0 |
| Marcos Montiel | - | 12 | 20.3 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 37.2 | 26.9 | 72.0 | - | 45.2 | 41.0 |
| Chris Hammond | - | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 62 | 3.6 | 22.2 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.27 | 59.5 | 50.0 |
| Mason Dobie | - | 19 | 13.8 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 66 | 3.7 | 68.6 | 42.2 | 25.7 | 77.6 | 0.03 | 55.9 | 47.6 |
| Savion Stroud | - | 20 | 28.7 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 8.9 | 101 | 5.3 | 32.2 | 42.2 | 32.4 | 65.0 | -0.67 | 51.4 | 47.5 |
| Brady Coyne | - | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | -12 | -0.7 | -4.3 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.75 | 40.3 | 42.9 |
| Sherron Woodberry | - | 1 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 53 | 3.1 | 24.9 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 0 | 1.13 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Theo Pow | - | 17 | 11.3 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 67 | 3.9 | 24.7 | 51.7 | 16.7 | 69.0 | 2.31 | 57.0 | 52.5 |
| Nate Kwiecinski | - | 20 | 11.6 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 6.1 | 34 | 1.8 | 19.8 | 50.0 | 14.3 | 64.4 | -3.89 | 56.6 | 50.9 |
| Mitch Humphrey | - | 19 | 17.4 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 34 | 2.0 | 59.6 | 37.5 | 39.6 | 75.0 | 0.88 | 55.5 | 53.9 |
| Matthew Lamy | - | 17 | 15.0 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 79 | 4.6 | 40.4 | 41.3 | 33.3 | 71.4 | -0.21 | 57.0 | 52.2 |
| Jack Gatjanis | - | 15 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | -35 | -2.7 | -110.5 | 47.1 | 40.0 | 66.7 | -0.76 | 57.3 | 55.9 |
| Peter Psyhogeos | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 45 | 2.6 | 19.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.24 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Rashard Doyal | - | 12 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 6 | 0.5 | 27.3 | 29.6 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.54 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Kameran Rodriguez | - | 15 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 39 | 2.8 | 129.3 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.51 | 36.2 | 36.7 |
| Nate Pabis | - | 1 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 20 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.21 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Will Perkins | - | 5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Charlie Hinman | - | 5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ian Schnabel | - | 4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| David Omasombo | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 57 | 4.8 | 138.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zane Adnan | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 61 | 5.1 | 37.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.77 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Miles Drake | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG