VTSU Lyndon
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 840 (#583) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 791 (#599) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 836 (#733) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.3 (#414) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -28.7 (#752) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.094 (#742) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.012 (#768) | AdjNet -38.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.011 (#769) | AdjNet -38.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.059 (#779) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 99.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.156 (#765) | AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 96.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.085 (#758) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.093 (#759) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 736 (#588) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Keystone | L | 80 - 88 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 89 - 77 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | SUNY Canton | L | 77 - 106 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Elms | L | 78 - 103 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | New Haven | L | 51 - 122 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Lesley | L | 98 - 104 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | W | 100 - 91 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | SUNY Delhi | W | 84 - 73 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 108 - 107 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Saint Vincent | L | 67 - 92 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Tufts | L | 51 - 117 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | MCLA | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Me.-Farmington | L | 83 - 94 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Maine Maritime | L | 79 - 86 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 74 - 89 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Husson | L | 99 - 113 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | VTSU-Johnson | W | 89 - 73 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Lesley | L | 104 - 109 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Thomas (ME) | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | SUNY Delhi | L | 90 - 97 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | W | 111 - 108 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Maine Maritime | L | 72 - 94 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Me.-Farmington | L | 84 - 116 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley McIntyre | - | 17 | 32.8 | 27.2 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 19.0 | 14.8 | -94 | -4.9 | -26.3 | 47.7 | 33.7 | 74.6 | 0.29 | 58.3 | 52.2 |
| Marcus Schade | - | 1 | 33.1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 61.1 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 2.56 | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| Zach McLaughlin | - | 1 | 34.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 123 | 8.2 | 43.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 3.05 | 45.7 | 33.3 |
| MJ Ford | - | 1 | 22.8 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | -16 | -1.3 | -6.9 | 57.1 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -1.32 | 67.2 | 64.3 |
| Quanire Greene | - | 1 | 20.8 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 25.0 | 55.6 | - | 62.7 | 62.5 |
| Gregory Gonyea Jr. | - | 15 | 28.7 | 19.1 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 13.5 | 10.1 | -154 | -8.1 | -50.9 | 49.0 | 31.0 | 80.0 | 1.65 | 58.9 | 52.2 |
| Akhe McMichael | - | 1 | 22.2 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 65 | 3.6 | 23.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 69.2 | 0.93 | 62.0 | 50.0 |
| La'Anthony Fairley | - | 1 | 20.8 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 59.7 | 55.6 |
| Charlie Houghton | - | 1 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 108 | 6.4 | 43.1 | 46.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.15 | 57.7 | 57.7 |
| Jason Reynolds | - | 1 | 31.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 122 | 7.2 | 44.7 | 54.5 | 75.0 | 0 | 1.23 | 68.2 | 68.2 |
| Drew Hamilton | - | 1 | 31.4 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.2 | 41.7 | 22.2 | 75.0 | -1.17 | 54.5 | 50.0 |
| Doug McCalla | - | 1 | 22.3 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 71 | 5.9 | 28.2 | 58.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.59 | 60.3 | 58.3 |
| Kory Donlin | - | 1 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | -1.0 | 89 | 6.8 | 83.4 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.57 | 47.4 | 38.5 |
| Marquay Tanksley | - | 1 | 29.6 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -2.5 | 44.4 | 25.0 | 80.0 | -0.4 | 58.0 | 50.0 |
| Vince Russman | - | 1 | 23.4 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -2.5 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -1.33 | 83.3 | 80.0 |
| Gabe Michaud | - | 1 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 93 | 5.8 | 55.5 | 71.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.54 | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Conor Holland | - | 1 | 21.8 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 53 | 2.5 | 18.4 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 80.0 | 5.65 | 53.9 | 43.8 |
| Cameron Rhode | - | 1 | 26.3 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | -47 | -2.2 | -17.6 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.44 | 51.1 | 44.4 |
| Matt Doyle | - | 19 | 27.2 | 10.8 | 8.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 7.9 | 12.3 | -201 | -9.1 | -53.0 | 52.3 | 20.0 | 64.4 | -0.32 | 56.2 | 52.6 |
| Joelle Hodge | - | 1 | 16.5 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -31 | -2.1 | -117.5 | 37.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.04 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Brayden St. Pierre | - | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 85 | 14.2 | 305.4 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.5 | 94.5 | 83.3 |
| Aaron Pensel | - | 1 | 23.3 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -21 | -1.0 | -4.9 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 87.5 | 1.11 | 42.8 | 14.3 |
| Gabe Hagar | - | 1 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | -45 | -2.5 | -20.3 | 21.4 | 22.2 | 0 | 0.98 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| AJ Creech | - | 1 | 19.7 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 27 | 1.6 | 13.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.68 | 40.5 | 33.3 |
| Dwaine Williams | - | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 23 | 2.6 | 29.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.99 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| James Yamashita | - | 1 | 13.7 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 38 | 2.1 | 24.3 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.52 | 68.0 | 70.0 |
| Max Kocha | - | 19 | 22.5 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 7.3 | -81 | -3.9 | -31.0 | 43.0 | 34.1 | 76.9 | -2.88 | 54.5 | 49.6 |
| Noah Eckhart | - | 1 | 24.7 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 27 | 1.2 | 10.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 1.57 | 60.8 | 37.5 |
| Bruce Wilder Jr. | - | 1 | 9.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -30 | -2.0 | -20.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.39 | 53.2 | 33.3 |
| Xavier Rainwater | - | 18 | 13.5 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 5.1 | -38 | -1.9 | -23.9 | 50.7 | 26.7 | 47.2 | 2.02 | 53.6 | 53.6 |
| Tristan Robbins | - | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 91 | 7.0 | 82.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Josiah Dancy | - | 1 | 15.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 54 | 2.6 | 28.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 37.5 | -1.03 | 45.3 | 50.0 |
| Tyson Enget | - | 1 | 33.3 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 60 | 3.3 | 21.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 2.31 | 43.4 | 62.5 |
| Isaiah Allison | - | 2 | 19.8 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 9.5 | 6 | 6.0 | 12.1 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.01 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Christian Hathorn | - | 14 | 14.8 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 32.3 | 25.0 | 90.9 | - | 44.4 | 40.0 |
| Yuki Ishibashi | - | 1 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.38 | 29.1 | 16.7 |
| Aleix Moreno | - | 1 | 9.6 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 7.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.85 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Zander Poissant | - | 1 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -34 | -1.6 | -22.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.84 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Wade Hill | - | 1 | 16.6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -18 | -1.4 | -8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.12 | 26.0 | 0.0 |
| Ty Bates | - | 18 | 10.9 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 3.8 | -49 | -2.5 | -39.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 44.4 | 2.5 | 51.0 | 51.1 |
| Jordan Thibodeaux | - | 15 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0.1 | -54 | -3.4 | -148.8 | 33.3 | 41.2 | 47.1 | -1.0 | 44.8 | 43.1 |
| Dylan Hosford | - | 5 | 10.8 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 4.6 | -4 | -0.8 | -7.4 | 23.5 | 36.4 | 25.0 | -1.71 | 34.6 | 35.3 |
| Jacob McPhail | - | 9 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 0.29 | 56.0 | 58.8 |
| Chad Martin | - | 15 | 19.9 | 2.0 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6.1 | -180 | -9.5 | -145.4 | 59.1 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 0.15 | 59.8 | 61.4 |
| Ja'Lyn Griffin | - | 1 | 15.4 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Alex Leslie | - | 12 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -4 | -0.3 | -16.2 | 58.3 | 0.0 | 45.5 | -0.59 | 56.4 | 58.3 |
| Jaiden Cole | - | 17 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 52.4 | 0.0 | 27.3 | 0.03 | 48.4 | 52.4 |
| Jack Giarrusso | - | 15 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | -0.1 | -41 | -2.6 | -120.7 | 26.3 | 18.2 | 75.0 | -1.24 | 36.1 | 31.6 |
| Bryce Guitard | - | 1 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 41 | 6.8 | 44.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.2 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Andrew Joncas | - | 17 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | -73 | -4.3 | -85.0 | 21.1 | 22.2 | 100.0 | -4.42 | 37.0 | 26.3 |
| Brayden Pepin | - | 12 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -41 | -3.4 | -134.6 | 37.5 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -1.12 | 46.1 | 43.8 |
| Aaric Luce | - | 6 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -12 | -1.7 | -93.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jorden Cole | - | 8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | -13 | -2.2 | -68.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.96 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Tyler Dias | - | 7 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.13 | 11.6 | 0.0 |
| Lucas Ames | - | 7 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Braden Camire | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 64 | 4.9 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Stephan Direny | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.3 | -12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 0 | 0 |
| Javier Osowski-Freire | - | 1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Myreon Phillip | - | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 19 | 2.7 | 186.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Blake Senal | - | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Rowan Morel | - | 1 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG