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Bridgewater St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Bridgewater St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 987 (#401) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 896 (#498) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 918 (#653) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -18.5 (#353) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -17.3 (#646) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.410 (#519) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.8 More → 0.186 (#554) AdjNet -12.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.9 More → 0.181 (#554) AdjNet -12.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 87.9 More → 0.292 (#553) AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 87.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 85.0 More → 0.279 (#689) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 85.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.204 (#656) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.216 (#659) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 82 | GP 36 More → 898 (#487) RD 82 | GP 36

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ William Peace W 76 - 70
2025-11-09 vs N.C. Wesleyan L 61 - 85
2025-11-12 vs UMass Dartmouth L 82 - 129
2025-11-15 @ Nichols L 99 - 102
2025-11-18 @ Wheaton (MA) L 81 - 90
2025-11-18 vs Penn St. Harrisburg L 66 - 79
2025-11-21 vs Regis (MA) L 58 - 65
2025-11-22 vs Carlow W 83 - 62
2025-11-22 vs Wentworth W 93 - 75
2025-11-23 vs Methodist W 66 - 51
2025-11-25 @ Rhode Island Col. L 73 - 113
2025-12-03 vs Shenandoah W 54 - 49
2025-12-03 @ Tufts L 67 - 121
2025-12-06 @ Lynchburg L 70 - 94
2025-12-06 @ Rivier L 83 - 94
2025-12-10 vs Emerson L 80 - 104
2025-12-13 @ Mary Baldwin L 61 - 64
2025-12-28 @ Medgar Evers W 66 - 58
2025-12-28 @ Whittier W 88 - 74
2025-12-29 @ Wheaton (MA) L 56 - 65
2025-12-30 vs Central (IA) L 68 - 100
2026-01-03 vs Marymount (VA) L 58 - 69
2026-01-07 vs Randolph W 87 - 76
2026-01-07 @ Fitchburg St. W 107 - 98
2026-01-10 vs Hampden-Sydney L 67 - 80
2026-01-10 vs Salem St. L 75 - 89
2026-01-14 @ Randolph-Macon L 47 - 103
2026-01-14 @ Anna Maria W 82 - 66
2026-01-17 vs Guilford L 72 - 108
2026-01-17 vs MCLA W 90 - 72
2026-01-21 vs Westfield St. L 72 - 101
2026-01-24 @ Framingham St. W 101 - 98
2026-01-28 vs Worcester St. L 93 - 101
2026-01-31 vs Fitchburg St. L 93 - 95
2026-02-04 @ Salem St. L 78 - 79
2026-02-07 vs Anna Maria W 92 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dominic Mello - 1 40.0 28.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 19.0 -22 -1.0 -11.0 52.9 37.5 87.5 -1.39 68.2 61.8
Olivier St. Louis - 1 37.7 25.0 16.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 18.0 29.0 - - - 44.4 33.3 72.7 - 54.7 47.2
Eoin Morrissey - 1 28.8 25.0 14.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0 25.0 35 1.8 9.4 62.5 60.0 100.0 0.43 74.1 71.9
Craig Williams - 1 38.0 25.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 20.0 14.0 -43 -3.3 -12.5 40.0 36.4 62.5 -1.32 53.1 50.0
Michael Perez - 1 33.0 24.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 9.0 -133 -7.0 -36.6 46.7 46.2 100.0 -4.0 71.6 66.7
Javen Flowers-Smith - 1 38.5 21.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 6.0 20.0 10.0 4 0.2 2.5 35.0 0.0 63.6 0.6 42.3 35.0
Jamel Walker - 1 31.0 19.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 12.0 28 2.0 7.6 43.8 0.0 55.6 0.26 47.6 43.8
Josh Campbell - 10 27.0 18.0 5.2 1.8 1.3 0.9 2.1 12.3 12.8 -43 -3.9 -13.7 53.7 33.3 77.8 -1.93 63.0 58.9
Ali Barry - 1 38.0 17.0 6.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 25.0 3 0.3 5.2 62.5 50.0 100.0 -0.15 83.3 75.0
Zach Taylor - 14 31.3 16.4 5.9 2.9 0.6 0.5 2.8 14.6 8.9 -58 -3.9 -22.8 45.6 37.9 59.3 1.06 50.3 48.3
Raheim Orleans - 1 35.0 14.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 9.0 14.0 20 1.3 4.6 55.6 0 100.0 -0.01 65.1 55.6
Dimetri Iafrate - 1 30.8 14.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 12.0 -16 -0.9 -3.8 63.6 0.0 0 1.26 63.6 63.6
Dante Kikuba - 13 28.4 13.1 4.2 5.5 2.2 0.2 2.9 10.8 11.4 -94 -5.9 -37.7 41.4 27.3 72.2 0.06 51.9 46.8
Rob Elliott - 1 33.0 13.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 15.0 -20 -1.2 -5.0 46.2 20.0 0 -4.1 50.0 50.0
Jamir Harvey - 1 35.0 13.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 13.0 9.0 7 0.4 1.6 38.5 0.0 50.0 1.49 41.6 38.5
Chukwudi Okoli - 1 36.0 13.0 7.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 17.0 - - - 55.6 0.0 42.9 - 53.8 55.6
Rex Zadrozny - 2 17.8 12.5 5.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 9.0 10.5 -5 -0.2 -2.5 66.7 0 25.0 -0.04 63.3 66.7
Sam Sweeney - 15 24.8 12.1 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.7 8.7 7.5 -13 -0.8 -4.2 44.6 41.5 89.7 2.61 63.4 59.6
Jahmir Brown - 10 25.1 12.1 2.8 1.4 1.4 0.2 1.2 9.4 7.3 30 1.4 6.0 50.0 0.0 77.1 1.56 55.3 50.0
Kyle Murphy - 3 33.0 12.0 4.0 3.3 0.3 0.3 2.0 10.3 7.7 - - - 41.9 33.3 61.5 - 49.0 45.2
Wil Martinez - 1 27.0 12.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 14.0 51 3.4 19.8 62.5 33.3 50.0 1.5 67.6 68.8
Luke Chapman - 1 40.8 12.0 12.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 21.0 1 0.0 0.6 60.0 60.0 75.0 0.2 88.8 90.0
Linus Helmhold - 1 17.0 12.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 13.0 -23 -1.3 -7.5 71.4 0.0 66.7 -1.1 72.1 71.4
Louis Jennings - 15 24.0 11.2 6.3 1.3 0.9 0.7 1.3 8.9 10.1 -21 -1.4 -9.7 52.6 31.7 71.4 2.09 59.1 57.5
Ahmed Toure - 1 33.0 11.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 18.0 -35 -2.1 -9.6 55.6 50.0 0.0 0.1 53.3 61.1
Samuel Omisore - 3 15.7 11.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 8.0 6.0 - - - 58.3 16.7 50.0 - 60.0 60.4
Jared Wilkins - 1 17.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 -9 -0.5 -3.6 71.4 0 50.0 -2.28 69.8 71.4
Roman Leraris - 1 15.0 11.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 12.0 -19 -1.4 -56.2 80.0 50.0 100.0 -0.23 93.5 90.0
Ethan Minarik - 1 11.1 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 -19 -0.9 -20.5 60.0 66.7 100.0 -0.1 85.0 80.0
Gehrig Brynda - 1 26.0 10.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 12.0 7.0 42 3.2 13.0 33.3 22.2 0 1.62 41.7 41.7
Jacob Armant - 1 18.0 10.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 7.0 -98 -5.2 -25.9 40.0 66.7 0 0.77 50.0 50.0
Asher Gardiner - 1 10.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 -86 -4.5 -63.7 100.0 0 50.0 -2.22 86.8 100.0
Shay Roban - 1 16.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 5.0 -43 -2.4 -24.5 50.0 40.0 0 -0.07 62.5 62.5
Jake Bluestein - 1 25.0 10.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 5.0 - - - 55.6 0 0 - 55.6 55.6
Cam Cross-Chinn - 1 18.8 9.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 60.0 60.0 0 - 90.0 90.0
Ned Fitzpatrick - 1 17.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 76 4.8 23.5 75.0 100.0 0 0.01 112.5 112.5
Brendan McNamara - 1 21.0 9.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 14.0 -79 -4.4 -30.2 60.0 75.0 0 -3.98 90.0 90.0
Hayden Morris-Gray - 1 27.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 1.0 - - - 15.4 0.0 83.3 - 28.8 15.4
Maleek Richardson - 11 16.1 8.8 3.3 1.0 0.6 0.3 1.7 7.8 4.5 -5 -0.3 -1.9 44.2 32.4 58.8 -1.29 51.9 50.6
Mason Ramey - 12 18.5 8.1 3.9 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.3 5.5 7.2 54 2.7 19.3 59.1 40.0 68.2 -0.54 64.1 62.1
Michael Makiej - 1 17.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 21 1.4 10.8 42.9 50.0 33.3 1.84 48.1 50.0
Kyren Smith - 12 16.2 7.4 3.7 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.8 6.3 6.0 -13 -0.6 -3.5 46.1 33.3 57.9 -1.15 52.8 51.3
Carter Palmer - 12 22.7 7.2 3.8 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.6 5.4 6.0 -30 -1.5 -7.2 55.4 42.9 54.5 -1.77 62.3 62.3
Sean Perri - 2 25.6 7.0 4.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 1.5 -19 -0.9 -6.4 25.0 26.7 0 -0.49 35.0 35.0
Guillermo Gasset Ruiz - 1 13.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 -123 -6.5 -37.0 60.0 50.0 0 -1.15 70.0 70.0
Omri Merryman - 1 15.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 11 0.7 3.2 66.7 100.0 100.0 -1.6 87.2 83.3
Tristan Herry - 1 16.2 6.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 17 0.9 4.6 50.0 66.7 0 0.38 75.0 75.0
Giulio Volonte - 1 12.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 4 0.2 3.2 60.0 0.0 0 -0.45 60.0 60.0
Miles Sales - 1 17.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 66.7 - 47.5 40.0
Aidan Rock - 12 18.5 5.9 4.8 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.7 3.4 8.2 -66 -4.7 -35.6 63.4 50.0 77.8 1.79 72.6 69.5
Mi'Kis Engram - 13 26.6 5.5 3.0 2.3 0.5 0.2 1.8 4.2 5.5 34 1.6 10.4 38.2 34.1 80.0 1.63 56.4 50.9
Moustapha Diop - 13 16.4 5.3 2.9 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.0 4.6 3.9 -33 -1.6 -11.6 36.7 27.8 90.9 0.59 49.5 40.8
Bradley Owens - 12 14.5 5.3 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 4.5 2.2 15 0.9 15.0 40.7 37.2 100.0 -1.29 57.4 55.6
Bernett Scott - 1 10.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 84 6.5 61.8 100.0 100.0 0.0 1.83 86.8 125.0
Colin Quinn - 1 12.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -32 -2.7 -15.2 50.0 0.0 33.3 -0.93 47.0 50.0
Javon Jenkins - 11 18.6 4.8 1.6 2.0 0.9 0.2 1.5 4.4 3.7 -21 -1.2 -9.2 41.7 34.8 55.6 -2.54 51.0 50.0
Sal Pedevillano - 2 16.4 4.0 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.5 3.0 -9 -0.5 -6.7 33.3 33.3 0 1.28 44.4 44.4
Kauny Teng - 1 23.1 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 -39 -4.9 -36.7 20.0 100.0 50.0 -1.68 34.0 30.0
Raymond Johnson - 1 12.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -1.0 -25 -2.5 -41.0 20.0 0.0 100.0 -1.64 34.0 20.0
Caden Zurek - 1 15.0 4.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 -77 -4.3 -79.5 50.0 0 0 -0.83 50.0 50.0
Jaxen Potter - 1 21.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 1 0.1 0.6 50.0 0 50.0 2.27 53.2 50.0
Blake Bailey - 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 7 1.2 78.5 100.0 0 50.0 0.34 79.8 100.0
Abdoul Bah - 14 12.4 2.9 2.0 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.3 2.8 3.8 -112 -7.5 -85.1 38.5 37.5 71.4 -2.39 48.7 46.2
Jamaal McConnell - 9 6.1 2.4 1.3 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.6 2.0 -46 -9.2 -43.0 26.1 40.0 88.9 -1.76 40.8 30.4
Chris Suber - 9 13.8 2.2 1.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 2.1 1.9 25 1.5 10.1 36.8 0.0 54.5 -1.41 41.9 36.8
Justin Rosario - 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -62 -4.1 -81.4 100.0 0 0 -0.23 100.0 100.0
Trevonne Tcha - 1 28.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 -79 -4.4 -53.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 1.39 20.5 0.0
Cassidy Bonsu - 1 4.2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 25 1.6 21.4 50.0 0 0 0.52 50.0 50.0
Tyrone Chinn - 1 10.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 -4 -0.4 -14.8 100.0 0 0 -0.32 100.0 100.0
Jeff Tan - 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3 0.6 90.0 100.0 0 0 0.15 100.0 100.0
Lincoln Jackson - 7 6.7 1.9 1.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.9 2.3 13 0.9 7.1 66.7 0 83.3 0.82 75.2 66.7
Jalen Deloatch - 13 8.5 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.2 -0.3 41 3.2 45.3 17.2 15.8 78.6 1.93 34.1 22.4
Dennard Hutchinson - 5 9.3 1.6 1.2 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.2 3 0.6 59.5 42.9 0 25.0 -0.22 38.0 42.9
Matt Hain - 6 7.8 1.5 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.5 0.2 15 1.4 28.3 20.0 23.1 0 -1.38 30.0 30.0
Maurtice McArthur - 3 8.2 1.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.3 -3 -0.6 -14.0 33.3 0.0 0 1.03 33.3 33.3
Steven Morrell - 4 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 - - - 66.7 100.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Markus Nordin - 2 9.3 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 -22 -2.8 -243.3 33.3 0.0 0 0.22 33.3 33.3
Aamyr Sullivan - 1 15.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -33 -4.1 -20.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.26 17.4 0.0
Peja Boyd - 4 7.4 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.0 -1.5 - - - 12.5 25.0 0.0 - 16.9 18.8
Dylan Donner - 4 4.0 0.5 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
Joshua Pierre - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Rhommy Holder - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -4.0 -18 -1.3 -22.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.01 0.0 0.0
Amir Powell - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -52 -4.0 -93.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.44 0.0 0.0
Juan Diaz Beltres - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6 0.8 26.0 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
Nelson Obarisiagbon - 1 6.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 46 3.5 36.1 0 0 0 1.87 0 0
Harrison Stanwood - 1 6.6 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -9 -0.6 -9.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.81 0.0 0.0
Anthony Zingarella - 1 22.8 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 -14 -0.8 -16.2 0.0 0 0 0.5 0.0 0.0
Zachary Harvey-Seutcheu - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Chris Billone - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6 0.7 7.0 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
Mohammad Nasereddin - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -7 -1.4 -176.8 0 0 0 -0.82 0 0
Caden Smith - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -152 -6.9 -1441.9 0 0 0 -1.24 0 0
Nik Hayes - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8 2.7 30.3 0 0 0 1.42 0 0
Ray Allen III - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -25 -2.1 -45.5 0.0 0 0 -0.82 0.0 0.0
Hank Gramlich - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -6 -0.4 -4.3 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
Yoav Rabbi - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 7 1.8 210.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.15 0.0 0.0
Jayden Mills - 1 21.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 -3.0 -38 -3.2 -24.0 0.0 0.0 0 -3.25 0.0 0.0
Michael Agiddi - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG