Keene St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1158 (#81) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1092 (#169) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1076 (#125) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.2 (#156) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.4 (#312) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.848 (#275) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.792 (#237) | AdjNet +11.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.792 (#236) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.707 (#221) | AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 75.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.620 (#181) | AdjO 78.3 | AdjD 72.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.610 (#303) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.619 (#301) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1095 (#185) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Western New Eng. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Nichols | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | WPI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Tufts | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | VTSU Castleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | UMass Boston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Hamilton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Brandeis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Southern Me. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Plymouth St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | WestConn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Middlebury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | UMass Boston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | VTSU Castleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Southern Me. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Plymouth St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Cooper | - | 20 | 30.7 | 20.3 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 16.1 | 12.1 | 132 | 6.3 | 68.5 | 43.3 | 41.0 | 73.9 | 2.12 | 54.3 | 49.7 |
| Noah Dowling | - | 1 | 27.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 82 | 5.5 | 32.6 | 58.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 4.75 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Carter Galley | - | 1 | 25.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 60 | 4.0 | 24.3 | 63.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 1.51 | 71.5 | 72.7 |
| Thomas Whelan | - | 1 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 16 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.87 | 42.4 | 38.9 |
| Wesley Odiase | - | 3 | 28.1 | 12.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 10.7 | 4.7 | -9 | -4.5 | -13.2 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 76.9 | -2.09 | 50.4 | 43.8 |
| Mitch Shettles | - | 18 | 23.9 | 11.8 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 9.4 | 6.8 | 10 | 0.6 | 5.8 | 42.0 | 37.7 | 96.4 | 0.68 | 58.5 | 54.7 |
| Leo Chaikin | - | 19 | 26.2 | 10.3 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.5 | 11.2 | 111 | 5.8 | 44.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 83.5 | 5.33 | 60.4 | 50.0 |
| Andrew Hartel | - | 1 | 32.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | -10 | -0.7 | -5.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.69 | 53.6 | 50.0 |
| Ryan Blakey | - | 17 | 18.5 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 6.9 | 19 | 1.2 | 14.7 | 38.8 | 32.3 | 76.3 | -0.42 | 54.5 | 49.0 |
| Denis Wainaina | - | 20 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 10.4 | 90 | 4.5 | 48.7 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 2.34 | 50.0 | 45.5 |
| Cohen Galley | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 34 | 2.3 | 14.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.12 | 67.6 | 62.5 |
| Joshua Williams | - | 20 | 15.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 3.3 | -26 | -1.6 | -162.9 | 36.0 | 35.7 | 77.8 | -3.15 | 49.1 | 46.0 |
| Liam Johnston | - | 20 | 14.3 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 32 | 1.8 | 13.2 | 42.3 | 40.6 | 90.0 | 1.88 | 63.0 | 60.6 |
| Kareem Porter | - | 18 | 14.1 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 7.9 | 40 | 2.5 | 43.6 | 55.6 | 0 | 60.6 | 2.05 | 58.4 | 55.6 |
| Allyn Wright | - | 20 | 14.0 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 36 | 2.0 | 41.4 | 44.0 | 33.3 | 54.5 | 0.61 | 51.4 | 50.7 |
| Gabe Lash | - | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 38 | 2.5 | 13.4 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 22.5 | 12.5 |
| Isaac Ogutuga | - | 19 | 13.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 1.5 | -13 | -0.8 | -14.8 | 30.4 | 29.7 | 60.0 | -1.44 | 42.2 | 40.2 |
| Michael Coggins | - | 6 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.12 | 60.7 | 61.1 |
| Sam Medalie | - | 9 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 10.4 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 80.0 | -0.03 | 38.5 | 31.2 |
| Gabe Marquis | - | 10 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.49 | 42.4 | 46.4 |
| Edric Louissant | - | 3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -10 | -3.3 | -296.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.94 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Joe Fitzgerald | - | 6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | -0.3 | -3 | -0.6 | -25.2 | 12.5 | 16.7 | 50.0 | - | 22.5 | 18.8 |
| Jefferson Smock | - | 9 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | -14 | -2.3 | -76.7 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.46 | 44.4 | 40.0 |
| Jordan McClain | - | 7 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | -6 | -1.0 | -28.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 20.5 | 16.7 |
| Henry Perkins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Charlie Sepp | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG