Endicott
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1291 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1310 (#11) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1222 (#7) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.5 (#39) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.3 (#329) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.767 (#308) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.567 (#331) | AdjNet +2.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.563 (#330) | AdjNet +2.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.545 (#322) | AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.656 (#140) | AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 73.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.722 (#180) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.725 (#170) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1383 (#4) | RD 127 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | John Jay | W | 92 - 66 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Baruch | W | 99 - 73 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | MIT | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Tufts | W | 76 - 73 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Nichols | W | 84 - 73 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Southern Me. | W | 100 - 80 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Colby | L | 89 - 93 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Regis (MA) | W | 77 - 61 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Wentworth | W | 91 - 56 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | W | 99 - 84 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Salem St. | W | 90 - 82 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Curry | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Western New Eng. | W | 73 - 58 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Hartford | W | 92 - 83 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Gordon | W | 86 - 60 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Suffolk | W | 69 - 44 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Curry | W | 84 - 76 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Wentworth | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Nichols | W | 90 - 78 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Roger Williams | W | 84 - 83 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | JWU (Providence) | W | 102 - 80 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Civello | - | 1 | 33.0 | 35.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | 23.0 | 94 | 4.9 | 36.7 | 65.0 | 70.0 | 100.0 | 3.88 | 83.8 | 82.5 |
| Elijah Kinney | - | 16 | 28.1 | 21.7 | 11.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 13.6 | 22.9 | 126 | 7.9 | 35.1 | 59.0 | 30.4 | 84.8 | 2.2 | 66.6 | 60.6 |
| Marcus Montagnino | - | 19 | 33.1 | 21.3 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 14.2 | 19.8 | 154 | 8.1 | 31.4 | 56.5 | 25.0 | 83.2 | 4.07 | 63.9 | 58.6 |
| Carter Galley | - | 1 | 24.0 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 60 | 4.0 | 24.3 | 63.6 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.94 | 78.7 | 77.3 |
| Max Poulton | - | 1 | 31.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 150 | 7.9 | 47.1 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.62 | 85.8 | 81.2 |
| Marcos Montiel | - | 1 | 27.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 75.0 | 50.0 | - | 54.5 | 54.2 |
| Thomas Whelan | - | 1 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 16 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 35.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.16 | 40.1 | 38.2 |
| Cohen Galley | - | 1 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 34 | 2.3 | 14.8 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -0.4 | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Savion Stroud | - | 1 | 34.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 101 | 5.3 | 32.2 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.67 | 48.6 | 45.0 |
| Caden Sullivan | - | 18 | 27.2 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 9.8 | 77 | 4.3 | 20.3 | 45.6 | 36.4 | 85.7 | -0.49 | 61.6 | 55.9 |
| Andrew Hartel | - | 1 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -10 | -0.7 | -5.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 83.3 | -2.17 | 67.8 | 50.0 |
| AJ Forte | - | 12 | 21.6 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 7.1 | 4.2 | 80 | 6.7 | 68.3 | 42.4 | 44.1 | 57.1 | 1.63 | 60.2 | 60.0 |
| Matt Boen | - | 18 | 25.6 | 8.1 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 7.7 | 79 | 4.2 | 21.7 | 43.6 | 26.9 | 62.5 | -0.94 | 52.9 | 49.6 |
| Jeff Hill | - | 19 | 21.6 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 35 | 1.9 | 11.6 | 33.8 | 25.0 | 68.8 | 0.34 | 41.2 | 37.7 |
| Mason Dobie | - | 1 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 66 | 3.7 | 68.6 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.03 | 55.4 | 50.0 |
| Noah Dowling | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 82 | 5.5 | 32.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.65 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Jack Gatjanis | - | 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -35 | -2.7 | -110.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.76 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Cam Keliher | - | 18 | 21.1 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 89 | 4.7 | 26.9 | 41.8 | 45.2 | 63.6 | 2.71 | 60.2 | 59.1 |
| Max Grenert | - | 15 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 6 | 0.4 | 9.3 | 41.7 | 44.0 | 71.4 | -2.44 | 58.9 | 56.9 |
| Andrew Mitchell | - | 11 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 13 | 1.2 | 11.2 | 32.4 | 27.8 | 60.0 | -2.47 | 43.0 | 39.7 |
| Gabe Lash | - | 1 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 38 | 2.5 | 13.4 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 2.31 | 30.7 | 37.5 |
| Liam Dunfee | - | 17 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 43.8 | 50.0 | 61.5 | 0.26 | 49.0 | 45.3 |
| Joey DaSilva | - | 13 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 48 | 3.7 | 79.9 | 31.8 | 35.0 | 75.0 | 0.55 | 52.9 | 47.7 |
| Logan Bagshaw | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Noah Hebert | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -6 | -2.0 | -35.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Sam Hinman | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 95 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.36 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Nate Kwiecinski | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 34 | 1.8 | 19.8 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.89 | 20.5 | 25.0 |
| Jason Romans | - | 13 | 7.4 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 22 | 1.7 | 52.2 | 52.6 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.34 | 63.2 | 63.2 |
| Jack Lewis | - | 6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 0.6 | 133.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.5 | 62.1 | 50.0 |
| Reece Goodman | - | 9 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 14 | 1.8 | 109.8 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.77 | 90.0 | 90.0 |
| Carter Koenig | - | 12 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.4 | 8.4 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | 1.22 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Aidan Obriien | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zion Simpson | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -4 | -4.0 | -57.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mitch Humphrey | - | 1 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 34 | 2.0 | 59.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.88 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG