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Connecticut Col.

Also known as: Connecticut Col.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1186 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1187 (#44) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1073 (#129) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +4.6 (#67) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +4.2 (#286) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.761 (#311) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.3 More → 0.698 (#279) AdjNet +7.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.1 More → 0.697 (#274) AdjNet +7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.602 (#291) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 71.2 More → 0.674 (#124) AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 71.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.661 (#247) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.669 (#236) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 23 More → 1165 (#89) RD 98 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-16 @ Emerson W 82 - 72
2025-11-18 vs SUNY New Paltz W 91 - 79
2025-11-22 vs Brandeis W 84 - 78
2025-11-25 @ Eastern Conn. St. L 82 - 95
2025-11-30 @ Roger Williams W 81 - 57
2025-12-03 vs Anna Maria W 88 - 69
2025-12-06 @ Old Westbury W 72 - 57
2025-12-08 @ Worcester St. W 95 - 85
2025-12-19 vs Rhode Island Col. W 85 - 64
2025-12-29 @ Hartford L 81 - 82
2025-12-31 @ SUNY Oneonta W 76 - 58
2026-01-01 @ Springfield W 77 - 74
2026-01-09 @ Colby L 67 - 76
2026-01-10 @ Bowdoin L 79 - 82
2026-01-12 @ Medgar Evers W 89 - 40
2026-01-16 vs Middlebury W 78 - 66
2026-01-17 vs Williams W 83 - 68
2026-01-20 vs CCNY W 88 - 50
2026-01-24 vs Tufts L 73 - 76
2026-01-30 vs Trinity (CT) L 67 - 80
2026-01-31 vs Wesleyan (CT) W 84 - 83
2026-02-06 @ Hamilton W 86 - 75
2026-02-07 @ Amherst L 54 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jarrel Okorougo - 1 31.0 28.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 20.0 - - - 64.7 0 66.7 - 66.8 64.7
Elias Rodl - 1 37.0 27.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 16.0 19.0 106 6.2 19.6 68.8 66.7 100.0 3.56 82.1 81.2
Johnny Annan - 1 34.0 27.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 11.0 25.0 -12 -0.7 -3.8 90.9 0 77.8 1.31 90.2 90.9
Ray Cuevas - 1 34.0 26.0 6.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 12.0 24.0 20 1.2 4.8 58.3 62.5 87.5 3.49 83.8 79.2
Zach Wolinski - 1 37.0 25.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 17.0 15.0 14 0.8 4.8 47.1 33.3 87.5 -1.0 60.9 52.9
James LaFrance - 7 31.1 20.7 5.1 2.1 1.3 0.4 2.1 16.9 10.7 3 0.2 1.9 44.9 41.7 77.8 0.38 57.6 55.5
Dan Civello - 1 31.0 18.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 13.0 7.0 94 4.9 36.7 53.8 33.3 100.0 3.88 64.8 61.5
Joshua Bernstein - 1 30.0 18.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 17.0 115 6.1 54.4 75.0 0 0 0.46 75.0 75.0
Sam Hinman - 1 27.0 17.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 13.0 95 5.0 30.0 33.3 33.3 85.7 -1.36 56.4 45.8
Zion Watt - 1 29.0 17.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 16.0 115 6.1 58.7 66.7 62.5 0 -1.15 94.4 94.4
Jason Canady - 1 32.0 16.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 7.0 -65 -4.6 -98.2 40.0 57.1 100.0 -0.33 68.0 60.0
Ryan Weiss - 1 33.0 15.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 11.0 68 4.0 18.8 45.5 60.0 100.0 0.64 63.1 59.1
Ayme Daguilh - 1 33.0 15.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 11.0 10.0 -73 -4.3 -39.2 45.5 20.0 100.0 -1.49 58.8 50.0
Chris Hammond - 1 31.0 15.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 13.0 62 3.6 22.2 55.6 42.9 100.0 -0.27 75.9 72.2
Dylan Watson - 7 27.1 14.1 10.1 1.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 9.9 15.9 -27 -1.9 -38.4 50.7 58.3 81.5 0.31 61.2 55.8
Drew Lazarre - 1 30.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 20.0 60.0 - 57.4 55.0
Mason Dobie - 1 22.0 13.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 14.0 66 3.7 68.6 62.5 0.0 75.0 0.03 66.6 62.5
Kevin Reeves - 1 14.0 13.0 8.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 11.0 30 1.9 11.3 62.5 0 75.0 0.23 66.6 62.5
Joe Okla - 1 32.0 13.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 13.0 -1 -0.1 -0.2 44.4 0.0 83.3 0.4 55.8 44.4
Lucas Miglionico - 1 25.0 12.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 -52 -3.7 -78.5 50.0 0 100.0 -0.82 61.5 50.0
Ryan Sablon - 1 36.0 12.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 7.0 -10 -0.7 -3.5 55.6 33.3 50.0 0.4 60.7 61.1
Oscar Edelman - 1 24.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 2.0 -4 -0.2 -1.6 30.0 42.9 75.0 0.22 51.0 45.0
Nate Pabis - 1 22.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 4.0 20 1.2 13.7 50.0 100.0 100.0 -2.21 61.9 56.2
Elias Espinosa - 14 24.3 10.7 3.8 2.4 0.9 0.4 1.3 7.9 8.9 -27 -1.6 -12.1 45.9 41.4 86.4 0.29 62.1 59.0
Max Poulton - 1 21.0 10.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 9.0 150 7.9 47.1 33.3 28.6 0 0.62 41.7 41.7
Nolan Bessire - 1 29.0 10.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 12.0 -19 -1.4 -6.8 55.6 0 0 -1.0 55.6 55.6
Scott Gyimesi - 1 36.0 10.0 10.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 18.0 188 9.9 80.4 44.4 0 50.0 1.58 46.5 44.4
Greg Cantwell - 14 26.4 9.8 5.6 3.2 1.5 0.3 1.6 8.1 10.6 -7 -0.4 -2.9 36.0 27.1 85.7 -0.42 50.5 41.7
Patrick Freeman - 1 18.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 4.0 -24 -1.5 -41.3 37.5 50.0 100.0 1.79 50.7 43.8
Ben Lyttle - 1 25.0 9.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 13.0 -45 -2.6 -22.7 40.0 33.3 0 -1.44 45.0 45.0
Jaalan Watson - 1 16.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 -19 -1.0 -15.0 33.3 33.3 75.0 0.32 51.5 41.7
PJ Johnson Jr. - 6 19.2 7.0 2.2 1.5 1.3 0.2 1.8 4.8 5.5 -26 -2.0 -67.5 44.8 28.6 100.0 -0.47 61.3 51.7
Robert Blandburg - 8 13.6 7.0 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.8 6.0 4.6 - - - 54.2 0 44.4 - 53.9 54.2
Matthew Lamy - 1 18.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 79 4.6 40.4 75.0 50.0 0 -0.21 87.5 87.5
Ricardo Nieves - 1 13.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 132 6.6 103.3 40.0 33.3 100.0 2.54 59.5 50.0
Fritz Hauser - 1 27.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 -43 -2.4 -16.2 100.0 100.0 0 1.23 116.7 116.7
Garrett Clar - 14 22.3 6.4 2.6 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.9 3.7 7.1 5 0.3 2.8 57.7 53.3 72.2 -0.56 74.3 73.1
Quron Zene - 8 14.4 6.0 4.1 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 4.8 5.6 22 2.4 93.6 50.0 31.2 50.0 -0.83 56.6 56.6
Marcos Montiel - 1 15.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 - - - 28.6 40.0 0 - 42.9 42.9
Gur Dhillon - 1 18.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 41 2.7 38.9 75.0 0 0 -2.17 75.0 75.0
Daniel Wondie - 1 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -40 -2.2 -10.2 50.0 66.7 0 -0.29 75.0 75.0
Cole Craffey - 3 11.8 5.7 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.7 -14 -1.1 -15.8 66.7 66.7 100.0 -2.33 82.4 77.8
Shawn Hebert - 1 18.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -6 -0.4 -6.9 50.0 50.0 0 0.24 62.5 62.5
Robbie Nyamwaya - 1 9.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 72 4.8 112.8 100.0 100.0 0 0.39 125.0 125.0
Charlie Moore - 1 14.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 17 1.5 34.1 100.0 100.0 0 -0.45 125.0 125.0
Zane Adnan - 1 14.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 61 5.1 37.2 50.0 50.0 0 2.77 62.5 62.5
Malcolm Albert - 2 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.5 - - - 50.0 66.7 0 - 66.7 66.7
Jon Medley - 1 29.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 86 5.7 39.6 28.6 0.0 0.0 3.41 25.4 28.6
Ian Plankey - 1 10.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -2 -0.1 -2.8 100.0 0 0 -2.19 100.0 100.0
Justas Bardauskas - 1 16.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Will Phillips - 2 5.0 3.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 3.5 - - - 60.0 0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Alec Fournier - 1 15.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 20 1.1 7.2 20.0 0 25.0 2.12 22.2 20.0
Jaydon Buckle - 1 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 33 2.2 9.2 50.0 0 50.0 2.34 52.1 50.0
RJ Casey - 7 11.3 2.6 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.0 -26 -1.9 -57.9 37.5 14.3 71.4 -1.95 47.2 40.6
Jay Royal - 2 5.0 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
Mitch Humphrey - 1 15.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 34 2.0 59.6 100.0 0 0 0.88 100.0 100.0
Nate Kwiecinski - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 34 1.8 19.8 33.3 0 0 -3.89 33.3 33.3
Dajon Burton - 1 20.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 -77 -4.3 -28.5 25.0 0 0 -1.37 25.0 25.0
Camdyn Shoesmith - 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 -78 -4.6 -39.7 100.0 0 0 -1.28 100.0 100.0
David Ayles - 1 23.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Tristan Davis - 1 20.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 22 1.7 41.6 100.0 0 0 1.62 100.0 100.0
Drew Martin - 1 26.0 2.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 98 5.8 40.6 50.0 0 0 5.51 50.0 50.0
Martin Wilson - 5 6.4 1.8 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 2.2 1.8 16 3.2 290.9 36.4 33.3 0 0.34 40.9 40.9
Josiah Wright - 9 7.4 1.7 1.4 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.6 2.2 1.4 32 4.0 67.2 30.0 11.1 40.0 -0.19 33.8 32.5
Alden Doran - 5 8.5 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.0 0.6 -11 -0.9 -38.7 30.0 0.0 50.0 0.9 32.2 30.0
Bo Moody - 6 5.9 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.0 - - - 28.6 33.3 0 - 42.9 42.9
Julius Powell - 4 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Savion Stroud - 1 32.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 101 5.3 32.2 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.67 17.4 0.0
Griffin Linstra - 1 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 49 3.3 92.6 0 0 50.0 0.87 56.8 0
Edward Harrison - 3 2.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 -0.3 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Jack Gatjanis - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -35 -2.7 -110.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.76 0.0 0.0
Kameran Rodriguez - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39 2.8 129.3 0 0 0 0.51 0 0
Enrique Perez - 1 21.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 10 0.8 11.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.59 0.0 0.0
Landon Sullivan - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -1.6 -46.1 0 0 0 -0.76 0 0
Asher White - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 -12 -1.5 -56.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.86 0.0 0.0
Genesis Rodriguez - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0
Reed Connolly - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 1 0.1 9.1 0.0 0 0 -0.11 0.0 0.0
Joe Ingegneri - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ethan Daleba - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -92 -5.4 -42.0 0 0 0 -2.68 0 0
Da'Shaun Phillips - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -1.9 -45.3 0 0 0 -0.12 0 0
Trevor McDonald - 1 19.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Samuel Norris - 1 9.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG