🐻⬇️🏀

Connecticut Col.

Also known as: Connecticut Col.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1164 (#73) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1166 (#67) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1073 (#129) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +5.3 (#130) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +4.2 (#286) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.761 (#311) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.3 More → 0.698 (#279) AdjNet +7.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.1 More → 0.697 (#274) AdjNet +7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.602 (#291) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 71.2 More → 0.674 (#124) AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 71.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.661 (#247) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.669 (#236) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 23 More → 1164 (#87) RD 98 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-16 @ Emerson - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 vs SUNY New Paltz - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Brandeis - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Eastern Conn. St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 @ Roger Williams - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Anna Maria - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Old Westbury - Incomplete score
2025-12-08 @ Worcester St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs Rhode Island Col. - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 @ Hartford - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 @ SUNY Oneonta - Incomplete score
2026-01-01 @ Springfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-09 @ Colby - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Bowdoin - Incomplete score
2026-01-12 @ Medgar Evers - Incomplete score
2026-01-16 vs Middlebury - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Williams - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 vs CCNY - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Tufts - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 vs Trinity (CT) - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Wesleyan (CT) - Incomplete score
2026-02-06 @ Hamilton - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Amherst - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jarrel Okorougo - 1 31.0 28.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 20.0 - - - 64.7 0 66.7 3.26 66.8 64.7
Elias Rodl - 1 37.0 27.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 16.0 19.0 106 6.2 19.6 68.8 66.7 100.0 2.46 82.1 81.2
Johnny Annan - 1 34.0 27.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 11.0 25.0 -12 -0.7 -3.8 90.9 0 77.8 -1.05 90.2 90.9
Ray Cuevas - 1 34.0 26.0 6.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 12.0 24.0 20 1.2 4.8 58.3 62.5 87.5 2.58 83.8 79.2
Zach Wolinski - 1 37.0 25.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 17.0 15.0 14 0.8 4.8 47.1 33.3 87.5 3.13 60.9 52.9
James LaFrance - 7 31.1 20.7 5.1 2.1 1.3 0.4 2.1 16.9 10.7 3 0.2 1.9 44.9 41.7 77.8 2.02 57.6 55.5
Joshua Bernstein - 1 30.0 18.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 17.0 115 6.1 54.4 75.0 0 0 0.9 75.0 75.0
Dan Civello - 1 31.0 18.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 13.0 7.0 94 4.9 36.7 53.8 33.3 100.0 1.18 64.8 61.5
Zion Watt - 1 29.0 17.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 16.0 115 6.1 58.7 66.7 62.5 0 1.6 94.4 94.4
Sam Hinman - 1 27.0 17.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 13.0 95 5.0 30.0 33.3 33.3 85.7 0.45 56.4 45.8
Jason Canady - 1 32.0 16.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 7.0 -65 -4.6 -98.2 40.0 57.1 100.0 -1.89 68.0 60.0
Chris Hammond - 1 31.0 15.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 13.0 62 3.6 22.2 55.6 42.9 100.0 -2.6 75.9 72.2
Ryan Weiss - 1 33.0 15.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 11.0 68 4.0 18.8 45.5 60.0 100.0 -0.22 63.1 59.1
Ayme Daguilh - 1 33.0 15.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 11.0 10.0 -73 -4.3 -39.2 45.5 20.0 100.0 -0.8 58.8 50.0
Dylan Watson - 7 27.1 14.1 10.1 1.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 9.9 15.9 -27 -1.9 -38.4 50.7 58.3 81.5 -1.4 61.2 55.8
Drew Lazarre - 1 30.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 20.0 60.0 1.33 57.4 55.0
Mason Dobie - 1 22.0 13.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 14.0 66 3.7 68.6 62.5 0.0 75.0 0.57 66.6 62.5
Kevin Reeves - 1 14.0 13.0 8.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 11.0 30 1.9 11.3 62.5 0 75.0 1.52 66.6 62.5
Joe Okla - 1 32.0 13.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 13.0 -1 -0.1 -0.2 44.4 0.0 83.3 0.37 55.8 44.4
Oscar Edelman - 1 24.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 2.0 -4 -0.2 -1.6 30.0 42.9 75.0 0.67 51.0 45.0
Lucas Miglionico - 1 25.0 12.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 -52 -3.7 -78.5 50.0 0 100.0 -1.6 61.5 50.0
Ryan Sablon - 1 36.0 12.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 7.0 -10 -0.7 -3.5 55.6 33.3 50.0 -0.73 60.7 61.1
Nate Pabis - 1 22.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 4.0 20 1.2 13.7 50.0 100.0 100.0 -0.53 61.9 56.2
Elias Espinosa - 14 24.3 10.7 3.8 2.4 0.9 0.4 1.3 7.9 8.9 -27 -1.6 -12.1 45.9 41.4 86.4 -1.17 62.1 59.0
Scott Gyimesi - 1 36.0 10.0 10.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 18.0 188 9.9 80.4 44.4 0 50.0 4.6 46.5 44.4
Max Poulton - 1 21.0 10.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 9.0 150 7.9 47.1 33.3 28.6 0 3.52 41.7 41.7
Nolan Bessire - 1 29.0 10.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 12.0 -19 -1.4 -6.8 55.6 0 0 -0.39 55.6 55.6
Greg Cantwell - 14 26.4 9.8 5.6 3.2 1.5 0.3 1.6 8.1 10.6 -7 -0.4 -2.9 36.0 27.1 85.7 0.03 50.5 41.7
Ben Lyttle - 1 25.0 9.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 13.0 -45 -2.6 -22.7 40.0 33.3 0 -1.19 45.0 45.0
Patrick Freeman - 1 18.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 4.0 -24 -1.5 -41.3 37.5 50.0 100.0 -0.08 50.7 43.8
Jaalan Watson - 1 16.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 -19 -1.0 -15.0 33.3 33.3 75.0 1.41 51.5 41.7
Ricardo Nieves - 1 13.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 132 6.6 103.3 40.0 33.3 100.0 3.86 59.5 50.0
Fritz Hauser - 1 27.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 -43 -2.4 -16.2 100.0 100.0 0 -2.41 116.7 116.7
PJ Johnson Jr. - 6 19.2 7.0 2.2 1.5 1.3 0.2 1.8 4.8 5.5 -26 -2.0 -67.5 44.8 28.6 100.0 -2.15 61.3 51.7
Robert Blandburg - 8 13.6 7.0 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.8 6.0 4.6 - - - 54.2 0 44.4 -0.2 53.9 54.2
Matthew Lamy - 1 18.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 79 4.6 40.4 75.0 50.0 0 1.27 87.5 87.5
Garrett Clar - 14 22.3 6.4 2.6 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.9 3.7 7.1 5 0.3 2.8 57.7 53.3 72.2 1.95 74.3 73.1
Quron Zene - 8 14.4 6.0 4.1 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 4.8 5.6 22 2.4 93.6 50.0 31.2 50.0 2.53 56.6 56.6
Marcos Montiel - 1 15.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 - - - 28.6 40.0 0 0.07 42.9 42.9
Gur Dhillon - 1 18.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 41 2.7 38.9 75.0 0 0 0.07 75.0 75.0
Daniel Wondie - 1 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -40 -2.2 -10.2 50.0 66.7 0 1.97 75.0 75.0
Cole Craffey - 3 11.8 5.7 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.7 -14 -1.1 -15.8 66.7 66.7 100.0 -0.31 82.4 77.8
Robbie Nyamwaya - 1 9.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 72 4.8 112.8 100.0 100.0 0 3.24 125.0 125.0
Charlie Moore - 1 14.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 17 1.5 34.1 100.0 100.0 0 0.25 125.0 125.0
Zane Adnan - 1 14.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 61 5.1 37.2 50.0 50.0 0 2.16 62.5 62.5
Shawn Hebert - 1 18.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -6 -0.4 -6.9 50.0 50.0 0 0.39 62.5 62.5
Jon Medley - 1 29.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 86 5.7 39.6 28.6 0.0 0.0 1.22 25.4 28.6
Ian Plankey - 1 10.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -2 -0.1 -2.8 100.0 0 0 -1.02 100.0 100.0
Malcolm Albert - 2 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.5 - - - 50.0 66.7 0 - 66.7 66.7
Justas Bardauskas - 1 16.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0 50.0 - 38.7 33.3
Will Phillips - 2 5.0 3.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 3.5 - - - 60.0 0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Alec Fournier - 1 15.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 20 1.1 7.2 20.0 0 25.0 0.6 22.2 20.0
Jaydon Buckle - 1 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 33 2.2 9.2 50.0 0 50.0 3.63 52.1 50.0
RJ Casey - 7 11.3 2.6 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.0 -26 -1.9 -57.9 37.5 14.3 71.4 -2.45 47.2 40.6
Jay Royal - 2 5.0 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
David Ayles - 1 23.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 2.79 33.3 33.3
Tristan Davis - 1 20.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 22 1.7 41.6 100.0 0 0 1.47 100.0 100.0
Drew Martin - 1 26.0 2.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 98 5.8 40.6 50.0 0 0 4.53 50.0 50.0
Mitch Humphrey - 1 15.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 34 2.0 59.6 100.0 0 0 -1.56 100.0 100.0
Nate Kwiecinski - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 34 1.8 19.8 33.3 0 0 -1.0 33.3 33.3
Dajon Burton - 1 20.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 -77 -4.3 -28.5 25.0 0 0 -3.67 25.0 25.0
Camdyn Shoesmith - 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 -78 -4.6 -39.7 100.0 0 0 -0.89 100.0 100.0
Martin Wilson - 5 6.4 1.8 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 2.2 1.8 16 3.2 290.9 36.4 33.3 0 1.26 40.9 40.9
Josiah Wright - 9 7.4 1.7 1.4 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.6 2.2 1.4 32 4.0 67.2 30.0 11.1 40.0 2.8 33.8 32.5
Alden Doran - 5 8.5 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.0 0.6 -11 -0.9 -38.7 30.0 0.0 50.0 0.01 32.2 30.0
Griffin Linstra - 1 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 49 3.3 92.6 0 0 50.0 -0.44 56.8 0
Bo Moody - 6 5.9 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.0 - - - 28.6 33.3 0 0.8 42.9 42.9
Julius Powell - 4 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Savion Stroud - 1 32.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 101 5.3 32.2 0.0 0.0 50.0 1.2 17.4 0.0
Edward Harrison - 3 2.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 -0.3 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Trevor McDonald - 1 19.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.99 0.0 0.0
Samuel Norris - 1 9.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 2.99 0.0 0.0
Jack Gatjanis - 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -35 -2.7 -110.5 0.0 0.0 0 -4.78 0.0 0.0
Kameran Rodriguez - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39 2.8 129.3 0 0 0 1.39 0 0
Enrique Perez - 1 21.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 10 0.8 11.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.15 0.0 0.0
Landon Sullivan - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -1.6 -46.1 0 0 0 - 0 0
Asher White - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 -12 -1.5 -56.1 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Genesis Rodriguez - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0
Reed Connolly - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 1 0.1 9.1 0.0 0 0 0.39 0.0 0.0
Joe Ingegneri - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 -2.79 0 0
Ethan Daleba - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -92 -5.4 -42.0 0 0 0 -3.98 0 0
Da'Shaun Phillips - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -1.9 -45.3 0 0 0 -3.49 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG