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Williams

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Williams
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1028 (#266) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1116 (#116) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 960 (#588) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +1.6 (#100) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -3.4 (#399) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.733 (#328) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.1 More → 0.806 (#21) NetEff +11.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.1 More → 0.741 (#259) AdjNet +9.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.1 More → 0.744 (#257) AdjNet +9.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 65.6 More → 0.622 (#272) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 65.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 65.0 More → 0.539 (#325) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 65.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.466 (#432) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.467 (#434) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1009 (#354) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 vs SUNY Morrisville W 89 - 67
2025-11-16 vs Alfred W 60 - 53
2025-11-19 vs SUNY Oneonta W 79 - 72
2025-11-22 @ Emmanuel (MA) W 90 - 77
2025-11-25 vs MCLA W 87 - 41
2025-11-30 @ Rhode Island Col. L 63 - 70
2025-12-03 vs Vassar W 79 - 69
2025-12-06 @ Wesleyan (CT) L 54 - 65
2025-12-19 vs Knox W 94 - 56
2025-12-20 vs Carleton W 73 - 71
2026-01-03 vs Worcester St. W 86 - 73
2026-01-05 @ Springfield W 65 - 49
2026-01-09 vs Wesleyan (CT) L 71 - 84
2026-01-10 vs Trinity (CT) L 57 - 73
2026-01-16 @ Tufts L 36 - 65
2026-01-17 @ Connecticut Col. L 68 - 83
2026-01-21 @ Amherst L 45 - 61
2026-01-24 @ Middlebury L 73 - 76
2026-01-27 vs SUNY Delhi W 78 - 58
2026-01-30 @ Bates L 57 - 67
2026-02-06 @ Colby L 52 - 64
2026-02-07 @ Bowdoin L 56 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Elias Espinosa - 1 28.0 26.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 19.0 -27 -1.6 -12.1 64.3 75.0 100.0 0.29 87.4 85.7
Dan Civello - 1 24.0 22.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 12.0 16.0 94 4.9 36.7 75.0 80.0 0 3.88 91.7 91.7
Ray Cuevas - 1 33.0 21.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 17.0 11.0 20 1.2 4.8 41.2 37.5 57.1 3.49 52.3 50.0
Brady Coyne - 1 29.0 20.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 11.0 -12 -0.7 -4.3 37.5 22.2 85.7 -0.75 52.4 43.8
Jackson Rein - 18 28.8 13.4 6.1 0.8 0.9 0.4 1.3 11.2 9.1 -92 -4.2 -31.1 46.0 36.1 58.6 -1.21 56.3 55.7
Aidan Yates - 16 30.5 13.4 4.4 1.4 0.8 0.9 0.9 10.4 9.6 -58 -3.1 -49.6 41.9 35.2 82.2 -4.18 57.5 53.3
Alex Lee - 1 30.1 12.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 7.0 -2 -0.3 -2.5 50.0 33.3 0 0.71 60.0 60.0
Hudson Hansen - 17 24.5 11.9 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.7 1.9 7.6 10.8 -32 -1.5 -11.0 52.7 44.0 74.3 0.81 62.5 57.0
Theo Pow - 1 31.0 10.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 16.0 67 3.9 24.7 66.7 0.0 66.7 2.31 68.3 66.7
Greg Cantwell - 1 30.0 9.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 9.0 -7 -0.4 -2.9 33.3 16.7 0 -0.42 37.5 37.5
Garrett Clar - 1 28.0 9.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 5 0.3 2.8 50.0 50.0 80.0 -0.56 72.6 62.5
Mason Dobie - 1 15.0 9.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 66 3.7 68.6 57.1 0 100.0 0.03 60.5 57.1
EJ Sommers - 14 16.6 8.6 4.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.4 6.2 7.1 -43 -2.4 -32.5 46.0 26.9 71.7 -0.54 55.9 50.0
Sam Hinman - 1 27.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 -1.0 95 5.0 30.0 27.3 40.0 0 -1.36 36.4 36.4
Justas Bardauskas - 1 22.0 8.0 10.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 16.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 60.0 - 76.9 83.3
Kevin Reeves - 1 25.0 8.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 8.0 30 1.9 11.3 66.7 0 0 0.23 66.7 66.7
Peter Psyhogeos - 1 28.0 7.0 9.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 11.0 45 2.6 19.7 25.0 100.0 66.7 1.24 37.6 31.2
Nate Kwiecinski - 1 14.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 34 1.8 19.8 42.9 0.0 50.0 -3.89 44.4 42.9
Sean O'Leary - 1 27.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 25 1.5 10.0 40.0 0.0 40.0 -1.45 41.7 40.0
Matt DeVine - 16 14.5 5.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.8 4.6 2.9 -56 -2.5 -27.7 54.8 35.5 25.0 -1.82 59.3 62.3
Onyeraluobu Chibuogwu - 12 16.8 5.8 4.5 2.8 0.6 0.1 1.8 5.1 6.8 -29 -1.7 -18.7 39.3 15.0 58.1 0.54 46.2 41.8
Justin Belcher - 13 20.0 4.5 4.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 2.8 4.9 6.7 -25 -1.8 -153.1 35.9 26.9 33.3 -2.75 41.1 41.4
Babacar Pouye - 1 20.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 0.0 6 0.4 3.6 18.2 0.0 0.0 -0.88 17.5 18.2
Matthew Lamy - 1 21.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 79 4.6 40.4 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.21 69.4 50.0
Solomon Marshall - 12 9.5 3.8 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.0 -25 -1.9 -111.3 41.0 43.8 85.7 -0.96 53.5 50.0
Dylan Shepherd - 17 15.4 3.6 2.5 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.4 3.8 3.8 -43 -2.4 -118.5 29.7 19.4 66.7 -0.68 40.9 34.4
Quron Zene - 1 12.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 22 2.4 93.6 33.3 50.0 0 -0.83 50.0 50.0
Aidan Lawlor - 1 12.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 42 4.7 26.5 25.0 0.0 100.0 2.75 33.8 25.0
Ben Leach - 1 5.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 -11 -1.4 -25.0 100.0 0 50.0 0.9 79.8 100.0
Sammy Cooley - 14 19.3 2.4 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.2 -88 -5.5 -90.6 33.3 18.8 47.1 -0.79 40.8 37.9
Isiaha Dickens - 17 13.4 2.4 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.5 -12 -0.6 -13.1 43.9 27.3 50.0 0.96 47.8 47.6
Wes Gudeman - 7 4.7 2.3 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.1 1 0.1 1.3 66.7 0.0 0 2.19 66.7 66.7
Max Poulton - 1 30.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 150 7.9 47.1 16.7 0.0 0 0.62 16.7 16.7
Savion Stroud - 1 25.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 101 5.3 32.2 25.0 0 0 -0.67 25.0 25.0
Nolan Bessire - 1 20.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 -19 -1.4 -6.8 33.3 0 0.0 -1.0 29.1 33.3
Ty Kuehl - 9 4.0 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.8 -10 -0.9 -35.6 33.3 20.0 40.0 1.48 42.3 41.7
Matthew Nachamkin - 11 5.5 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7 0.1 -15 -1.2 -99.2 15.8 20.0 0 1.18 23.7 23.7
Khalil Carlson - 3 2.1 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 -1 -0.3 -37.5 50.0 0 0 0.14 50.0 50.0
Tyler Van Gorp - 7 3.4 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 -3 -0.4 -112.5 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.14 31.6 40.0
Chiwer Mayen - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11 0.6 13.1 0 0 0 -1.18 0 0
Jack Gatjanis - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -35 -2.7 -110.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.76 0.0 0.0
Mitch Humphrey - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 34 2.0 59.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.88 0.0 0.0
Will Logue - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -3 -3.0 -175.6 0.0 0 0 -0.65 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG