Wesleyan (CT)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1183 (#37) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1219 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1176 (#31) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.4 (#24) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.7 (#225) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.881 (#250) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.894 (#186) | AdjNet +18.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.895 (#185) | AdjNet +18.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.760 (#193) | AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.772 (#46) | AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.801 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.807 (#75) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1265 (#24) | RD 105 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | JWU (Providence) | W | 100 - 38 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | TCNJ | L | 90 - 92 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Roanoke | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Gettysburg | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Farmingdale St. | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Worcester St. | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Williams | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Lasell | W | 82 - 79 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Salem St. | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Western New Eng. | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Nichols | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Penn College | W | 99 - 44 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Amherst | L | 45 - 53 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Williams | W | 84 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Middlebury | W | 86 - 62 |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Yeshiva | W | 84 - 69 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Hamilton | W | 69 - 57 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Amherst | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Trinity (CT) | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Tufts | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Connecticut Col. | L | 83 - 84 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Bates | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Walker | - | 1 | 34.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 28 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 56.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.26 | 68.1 | 59.4 |
| Javen Flowers-Smith | - | 1 | 39.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 62.5 | 0.6 | 55.8 | 52.8 |
| Jamari Robinson | - | 1 | 23.2 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 66 | 4.4 | 68.1 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.4 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Zach Wolinski | - | 18 | 33.0 | 17.1 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 14 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 45.5 | 35.6 | 84.0 | -1.0 | 60.4 | 53.1 |
| Luke Chapman | - | 1 | 41.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 46.2 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0.2 | 61.2 | 57.7 |
| Sam Pohlman | - | 14 | 30.5 | 13.7 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 10.7 | 13.3 | 22 | 1.3 | 10.2 | 48.0 | 34.5 | 74.5 | 0.36 | 55.7 | 51.3 |
| Dominic Mello | - | 1 | 44.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | -22 | -1.0 | -11.0 | 45.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.39 | 54.7 | 54.5 |
| Nate Williams | - | 1 | 31.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 17 | 1.7 | 17.5 | 40.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 1.6 | 59.7 | 55.0 |
| Kauny Teng | - | 1 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | -39 | -4.9 | -36.7 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.68 | 39.6 | 38.5 |
| Raheim Orleans | - | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 20 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 57.1 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.01 | 59.8 | 57.1 |
| Babacar Pouye | - | 1 | 24.3 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 6 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.88 | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Oscar Edelman | - | 18 | 24.3 | 10.3 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 9.4 | 7.3 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.6 | 39.4 | 33.7 | 90.0 | 0.22 | 51.7 | 49.1 |
| Reece Craft | - | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 43 | 2.4 | 11.6 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.03 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Ethan Minarik | - | 1 | 36.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -19 | -0.9 | -20.5 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 90.0 | 90.0 |
| Fritz Hauser | - | 18 | 27.7 | 8.6 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 9.3 | -43 | -2.4 | -16.2 | 40.6 | 32.9 | 75.9 | 1.23 | 52.8 | 49.6 |
| Aidan Mess | - | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 22 | 1.2 | 7.7 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 53.8 | 57.1 |
| Ben Lyttle | - | 17 | 22.7 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 6.4 | 9.6 | -45 | -2.6 | -22.7 | 41.3 | 34.1 | 82.1 | -1.44 | 52.3 | 47.7 |
| Jaalan Watson | - | 18 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 5.9 | 2.4 | -19 | -1.0 | -15.0 | 42.5 | 37.5 | 78.6 | 0.32 | 49.0 | 46.7 |
| Kosta Radulovic | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 40 | 2.2 | 14.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Omri Merryman | - | 1 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | -2.0 | 11 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 9.1 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.6 | 24.4 | 13.6 |
| Elliott Cravitz | - | 1 | 19.4 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -34 | -2.3 | -29.6 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 1.05 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| David Omasombo | - | 1 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 57 | 4.8 | 138.3 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 1.01 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jackson Cormier | - | 13 | 17.7 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 5.5 | -9 | -0.6 | -8.9 | 50.0 | 23.5 | 63.2 | 0.11 | 56.1 | 53.7 |
| Olivier St. Louis | - | 1 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Chris Bianco | - | 1 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 13 | 0.9 | 12.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -2.18 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Cassidy Bonsu | - | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 25 | 1.6 | 21.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.52 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Brady Coyne | - | 1 | 25.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -0.7 | -4.3 | 11.1 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -0.75 | 20.2 | 16.7 |
| Peter Psyhogeos | - | 1 | 17.6 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 45 | 2.6 | 19.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.24 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Ian Plankey | - | 17 | 8.7 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 5.9 | -2 | -0.1 | -2.8 | 63.9 | 0.0 | 72.4 | -2.19 | 68.7 | 63.9 |
| Hunter Fleming | - | 9 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | -16 | -1.6 | -59.0 | 59.1 | 16.7 | 66.7 | -1.89 | 62.9 | 61.4 |
| Malachi Briscoe | - | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.69 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Wil Martinez | - | 1 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 51 | 3.4 | 19.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.5 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Charlie Moore | - | 13 | 9.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 17 | 1.5 | 34.1 | 50.0 | 41.7 | 85.7 | -0.45 | 65.8 | 61.4 |
| Dom Neverbickas | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 10 | 1.1 | 15.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.43 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Cole Decker | - | 1 | 10.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | 48 | 3.4 | 91.8 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.57 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Theo Falkenhain | - | 1 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 16 | 2.7 | 237.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.85 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Josh Cameron | - | 14 | 15.3 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 3.2 | -31 | -1.8 | -36.6 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 44.4 | -1.03 | 29.3 | 27.0 |
| Alex Justh | - | 4 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | -19 | -2.7 | -74.4 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -1.56 | 41.0 | 37.5 |
| Anthony Aririguzoh | - | 3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.5 | 45.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Dom Obukwelu | - | 4 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -0.5 | -10 | -2.0 | -46.8 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.98 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Michael Astorino | - | 4 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -10 | -1.7 | -38.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lorenzo Carrara | - | 1 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 20 | 1.1 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.98 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Anthony D'Itria | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21 | 2.6 | 26.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 |
| Steven Jean-Louis | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | -3 | -1.0 | -9.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Michael Makiej | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 21 | 1.4 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.84 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nelson Obarisiagbon | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 46 | 3.5 | 36.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.87 | 0 | 0 |
| Aidan Lawlor | - | 1 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 42 | 4.7 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ben Leach | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -11 | -1.4 | -25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Chiwer Mayen | - | 1 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean O'Leary | - | 1 | 28.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 25 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Charlie Williams | - | 1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18 | 3.0 | 411.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG