🐻⬇️🏀

Wentworth

Also known as: Wentworth
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 718 (#643) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 698 (#635) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 838 (#729) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -20.9 (#373) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -17.2 (#643) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.349 (#565) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.6 More → 0.156 (#578) AdjNet -14.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.9 More → 0.150 (#575) AdjNet -14.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 79.3 More → 0.268 (#577) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 79.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 81.0 More → 0.297 (#670) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 81.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.143 (#716) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.159 (#713) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 125 | GP 20 More → 694 (#619) RD 125 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Wheaton (MA) L 66 - 92
2025-11-10 vs MIT L 67 - 69
2025-11-15 @ Lasell L 90 - 98
2025-11-19 @ Gordon L 67 - 88
2025-11-21 vs Fisher L 85 - 93
2025-11-22 @ Bridgewater St. L 75 - 93
2025-11-25 @ Babson L 54 - 98
2025-12-02 vs Suffolk L 42 - 79
2025-12-06 vs Endicott L 56 - 91
2025-12-12 vs Westfield St. L 72 - 74
2026-01-03 @ Roger Williams L 60 - 83
2026-01-06 @ Nichols L 71 - 79
2026-01-10 vs Gordon L 69 - 75
2026-01-14 vs JWU (Providence) W 89 - 56
2026-01-17 @ Western New Eng. L 61 - 63
2026-01-20 @ U New England L 103 - 108
2026-01-24 vs Hartford L 50 - 67
2026-01-26 @ Tufts L 0 - 0
2026-01-28 @ Endicott L 76 - 79
2026-02-03 vs Nichols L 83 - 108
2026-02-07 @ Curry W 104 - 92

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Colin Mannke - 19 27.6 14.4 7.8 1.1 1.0 0.2 1.9 12.2 10.4 -69 -5.3 -32.0 43.3 33.7 66.2 -0.79 52.3 49.4
Russell Dolabany - 20 26.4 11.2 2.9 1.4 1.2 0.1 1.6 9.0 6.1 -65 -4.6 -29.0 39.4 34.1 86.4 1.02 54.4 48.1
Dylan Olson - 20 23.2 9.2 4.2 1.1 0.9 0.3 1.2 7.0 7.6 -45 -3.2 -19.6 43.6 38.6 69.7 1.17 59.5 57.5
Donovan Holway - 17 21.1 6.8 4.4 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.1 6.8 5.5 -66 -5.1 -26.7 43.5 23.8 52.6 -1.05 46.6 45.7
Jayden Williams - 16 15.6 6.6 2.1 1.0 0.9 0.4 1.5 5.1 4.5 -100 -7.1 -75.4 40.7 18.5 68.6 -2.75 51.2 43.8
Chase Mello - 19 20.5 6.3 0.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 5.8 1.4 -42 -3.2 -30.7 33.6 33.3 80.0 -1.55 47.8 41.8
Davis Lunn - 16 18.2 5.2 2.3 2.7 1.0 0.0 1.7 5.2 4.2 -35 -2.5 -17.5 33.3 32.1 64.3 1.34 46.0 44.0
Andy Weeman - 19 14.6 4.4 2.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.4 3.8 2.9 -46 -3.5 -36.2 34.2 18.8 60.0 1.2 43.7 36.3
Sean Racette - 14 12.5 3.8 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 1.4 3.0 2.6 -42 -4.2 -127.9 31.0 0.0 79.4 -0.51 46.5 31.0
Hunter Larson - 14 13.3 3.4 2.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 1.0 3.5 2.8 - - - 36.7 28.6 83.3 - 45.5 42.9
Mike Yentin - 13 10.4 3.3 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.5 2.9 2.4 -12 -1.1 -13.4 34.2 33.3 100.0 -1.48 50.7 43.4
Aiden Flaherty - 16 15.1 2.9 3.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 2.9 3.1 -18 -1.5 -29.9 41.3 0.0 75.0 -0.42 45.8 41.3
Michael Scully - 2 2.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.5 4 2.0 59.3 0.0 0.0 80.0 0.51 47.6 0.0
Zach Ivanoski - 5 4.6 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 66.7 - 71.8 66.7
Nick Hagopian - 3 2.8 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.3 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Marcus Lozius - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Patrick Tehan - 4 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.5 3 1.5 6.3 0.0 0 0 0.07 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG