🐻⬇️🏀

Troy

Also known as: Troy Trojans
Program History

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

78.6
PPG
74.0
Opp
+4.0
Margin
44.4%
FG%
33.5%
3P%
74.2%
FT%
37.6
RPG
15.5
APG
11.9
TO
81.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1145 (#74) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1122 (#81) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → 1083 (#61) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → -0.8 (#172) -
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → -0.4 (#176) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.594 (#125) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → 0.491 (#171) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → 0.512 (#160) -
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → 1077 (#109) -

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Kent State Golden Flashes W 103 - 97
2025-11-07 @ Furman Paladins W 64 - 61
2025-11-11 vs Pensacola Christian College PENSACOLA CHRISTIAN W 121 - 56
2025-11-14 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 63 - 74
2025-11-16 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 85 - 94
2025-11-18 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 108 - 107
2025-11-20 @ USC Trojans L 106 - 107
2025-11-24 vs Toledo Rockets L 68 - 75
2025-11-26 vs Saint Francis Red Flash W 74 - 64
2025-12-01 vs West Georgia Wolves L 89 - 93
2025-12-14 @ UAB Blazers W 86 - 85
2025-12-20 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 70 - 63
2025-12-31 vs Texas State Bobcats W 100 - 80
2026-01-03 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 59 - 49
2026-01-07 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 74 - 86
2026-01-10 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 90 - 70
2026-01-14 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 91 - 65
2026-01-21 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 83 - 77
2026-01-24 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 83 - 78
2026-01-29 vs James Madison Dukes L 64 - 73
2026-01-31 vs App State Mountaineers L 44 - 66
2026-02-04 @ Georgia State Panthers W 74 - 63
2026-02-07 vs Akron Zips W 79 - 69
2026-02-11 @ Texas State Bobcats L 62 - 74
2026-02-14 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 65 - 69
2026-02-18 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 77 - 76
2026-02-21 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 54 - 65
2026-02-24 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 78 - 59
2026-02-27 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 80 - 65
2026-03-08 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 78 - 70
2026-03-09 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 77 - 61
2026-03-19 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 47 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
V. Valdes V. Valdes - 32 29.1 14.7 3.9 4.2 1.3 0.3 3.3 10.8 10.4 86 3.9 6.3 40.1 24.8 76.0 0.16 53.6 44.5
T. Dowd T. Dowd - 32 36.6 14.3 10.2 2.1 1.3 1.3 1.5 11.2 16.5 133 5.8 8.1 43.2 32.8 79.1 0.42 56.1 51.5
T. Seng T. Seng - 26 29.3 13.0 5.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 1.0 8.9 10.7 91 4.0 8.5 51.5 33.8 76.8 -0.19 61.8 57.1
Coo. Campbell Coo. Campbell - 32 34.4 12.8 3.3 4.3 1.6 0.1 1.9 9.9 10.1 199 8.7 12.7 43.8 38.9 82.3 0.84 58.0 54.1
Cobi Campbell Cobi Campbell - 31 28.2 8.9 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.9 7.5 4.8 114 5.2 9.2 40.9 39.5 81.5 -0.23 56.6 54.7
J. Bellamy J. Bellamy - 32 16.4 7.4 3.2 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.1 4.9 6.6 78 3.4 13.7 62.8 31.6 59.0 0.24 65.1 64.7
K. Kiel K. Kiel - 32 16.3 3.9 3.7 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.8 3.3 5.7 65 2.8 8.2 35.8 28.0 71.4 0.29 49.0 42.5
A. Cross A. Cross - 32 16.1 3.5 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.4 3.6 1.8 45 2.0 6.4 34.2 30.1 50.0 -0.38 45.9 45.2
Javen Colbert Javen Colbert - 17 4.7 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.6 1.1 1.2 -3 -0.2 -2.1 38.9 33.3 69.2 -0.46 52.7 44.4
C. Green C. Green - 14 4.1 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 25.0 44.4 -0.37 52.9 53.6
E. Griffin E. Griffin - 11 5.2 1.4 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.4 1.6 32 4.6 112.9 40.0 0 37.5 -0.14 40.5 40.0
Emmanuel Clarton Emmanuel Clarton - 12 2.7 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.8 -11 -1.0 -29.5 62.5 0.0 0.0 -0.5 56.3 62.5
K. Mitchell K. Mitchell - 7 2.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.1 15 3.0 153.8 20.0 0.0 0 0.05 20.0 20.0
H. Awata H. Awata G 4 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.0 -1.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 33.3 -0.05 9.4 0.0
Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG