Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +9 (94-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Seng * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Thomas Dowd * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Victor Valdes * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Coo. Campbell * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Cobi Campbell * | 28 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Kerrington Kiel | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Austin Cross | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Javen Colbert | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Corbin Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emmanuel Clarton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Joshua O'Garro * | 34 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Mahmoud Fofana * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Larry Hughes II * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Davius Loury * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Brinson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| James Evans Jr. | 19 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jai Chisolm | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Grady Lewis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter