Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs -6 (77-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 44 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | -3.1 |
| Coo. Campbell | 43 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Theo Seng | 43 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 10-10 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 27 | -3.6 |
| Cobi Campbell | 41 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -15.1 |
| Victor Valdes | 37 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 14-18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Austin Cross | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC Shaw | 49 | 14-22 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 18 | -0.6 |
| Jordan Battle | 44 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Robert Davis Jr. | 43 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | +1.6 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +4.8 |
| LJ Thomas | 31 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Jared Turner | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Zacch Wiggins | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Drew McKenna | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.6 |
* = starter