Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs -6 (77-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dowd | 44 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | -0.4 |
| Coo. Campbell | 43 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Seng | 43 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 10-10 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 27 | +2.1 |
| Cobi Campbell | 41 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| V. Valdes | 37 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 14-18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 6 | +5.6 |
| K. Kiel | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.8 |
| J. Bellamy | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +6.0 |
| A. Cross | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.2 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC Shaw | 49 | 14-22 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 18 | -7.4 |
| J. Battle | 44 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | -2.3 |
| R. Davis Jr. | 43 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | -1.1 |
| C. Swanton-Rodger | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -2.6 |
| LJ Thomas | 31 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +4.7 |
| J. Turner | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6.3 |
| Z. Wiggins | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -7.0 |
| D. McKenna | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.7 |
* = starter