Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✓ (23.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +25 (99-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hampton | 28 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Christian Harmon | 25 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Chandler Jackson | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Hayman | 23 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | -9.5 |
| TJ Caldwell | 18 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Aly Tounkara | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8.7 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +7.1 |
| R. Smith | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.6 |
| Joey Chammaa | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +0.3 |
| F. Sylla | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 34 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 26 | -1.3 |
| Victor Valdes | 34 | 6-11 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 28 | +4.5 |
| Coo. Campbell | 32 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Cobi Campbell | 31 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Theo Seng | 22 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 21 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 16 | -0.4 |
| Austin Cross | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.7 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Evan Griffin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Javen Colbert | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Kameryn Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Hikaru Awata | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emmanuel Clarton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter