Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Bradley-Terry | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Margin | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Pythagorean | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Adjusted Efficiency | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Log Adjusted | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Points Off/Def | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +12 (86-74). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd * | 37 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Coo. Campbell * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Theo Seng * | 32 | 10-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | -6.6 |
| Cobi Campbell * | 31 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Victor Valdes * | 28 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Kerrington Kiel | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Austin Cross | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +22.5 |
| Chandler Jackson * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Hampton * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | - |
| K. Hayman * | 24 | 6-17 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Chudi Dioramma * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 23 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Joey Chammaa | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| TJ Caldwell | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Fredy-Salam Sylla | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Aly Tounkara | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter