Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.8% | 20.2% | -12.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | -8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -11 (63-74). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd * | 38 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Victor Valdes * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Coo. Campbell * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Cobi Campbell * | 28 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Theo Seng * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kerrington Kiel | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Austin Cross | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Brown * | 37 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Micah Tucker * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Enoh * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Jelani Hamilton * | 30 | 2-14 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Trey Scott * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jakai Newton | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Joah Chappelle | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ayouba Berthe | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter