Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Furman Paladins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✗ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Furman Paladins -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Seng * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +11.8 |
| Coo. Campbell * | 32 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | +11.0 |
| Thomas Dowd * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +7.9 |
| Cobi Campbell * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Victor Valdes * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +4.9 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +6.6 |
| Austin Cross | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -10.2 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -12.2 |
| Corbin Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.2 |
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Vander Wal * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -17.6 |
| Alex Wilkins * | 31 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Cooper Bowser * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -7.1 |
| Charles Johnston * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Tom House * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Asa Thomas | 23 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Eddrin Bronson | 22 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Abijah Franklin | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Collin O'Neal | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Owen Ritger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter