Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 40 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | -11.1 |
| Coo. Campbell | 35 | 8-19 | 7-17 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 7 | -3.7 |
| Victor Valdes | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -10.3 |
| Cobi Campbell | 30 | 0-10 | 0-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.4 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | -8.9 |
| Austin Cross | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8.4 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Evan Griffin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Javen Colbert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen | 39 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +14.4 |
| Chaze Harris | 35 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | +11.1 |
| Jayden Cooper | 33 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +4.4 |
| Hantz Louis Jeune | 31 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +10.2 |
| Randy Brady | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +9.2 |
| Stephen Williams | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +1.9 |
| JJ Wheat | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +10.0 |
| John Broom | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
* = starter