Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dowd | 37 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Coo. Campbell | 35 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Cobi Campbell | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| V. Valdes | 30 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 12-16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 10 | - |
| T. Seng | 24 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Cross | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Kiel | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Bellamy | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Drone | 38 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Gumbs | 35 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. Hall | 33 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| K. Davis | 24 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Bolden | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Sant | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Fields | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Willis | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| F. Emmou | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter