Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Fowler | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +3.3 |
| C. Davis | 31 | 8-15 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | +3.8 |
| B. Douglas | 27 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | -6.7 |
| E. Ricks III | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +8.2 |
| C. Brown | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| G. Newhof | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +2.6 |
| K. Egbule | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +11.3 |
| J. McBride | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1.9 |
| I. Cornish | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0.1 |
| J. Taylor | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dowd | 34 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 24 | +0.6 |
| Coo. Campbell | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Seng | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -8.4 |
| V. Valdes | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Cobi Campbell | 27 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| K. Kiel | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.1 |
| A. Cross | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.1 |
| J. Bellamy | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
* = starter