Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Fowler | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +15.4 |
| Cliff Davis | 31 | 8-15 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | +11.0 |
| Bradley Douglas | 27 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +19.5 |
| Christian Brown | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | +5.7 |
| Gabe Newhof | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Kose Egbule | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +7.3 |
| Justin McBride | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Ike Cornish | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Justin Taylor | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.7 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 34 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 24 | -5.1 |
| Coo. Campbell | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Theo Seng | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -18.0 |
| Victor Valdes | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Cobi Campbell | 27 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -14.0 |
| Austin Cross | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6.1 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.8 |
* = starter