Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | +23.9 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +10 (74-64). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Wicks * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Victor Payne Jr. * | 33 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Zion Russell * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Ahmad Harrison * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Gestin Liberis * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ralph Martino Jr. | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Tweedy | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Russell | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| KJ Swain Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Coo. Campbell * | 32 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Cobi Campbell * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Theo Seng * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kerrington Kiel * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Victor Valdes | 23 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 18 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Austin Cross | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Javen Colbert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corbin Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter