Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.4% | 56.6% | +0.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +1 (107-106). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd * | 51 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | +2.2 |
| Coo. Campbell * | 47 | 10-19 | 6-9 | 6-7 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 31 | +2.9 |
| Victor Valdes * | 40 | 9-24 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 5 | -3.4 |
| Theo Seng * | 38 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | -17.2 |
| Cobi Campbell * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 41 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Austin Cross | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.3 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Javen Colbert | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Corbin Green | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +4.0 |
| Emmanuel Clarton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Baker-Mazara * | 53 | 10-22 | 3-10 | 11-12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 28 | +5.3 |
| Rodney Rice * | 52 | 6-19 | 2-9 | 12-15 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 16 | -2.1 |
| Amarion Dickerson * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +8.9 |
| Jacob Cofie * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +10.6 |
| Ezra Ausar * | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | +3.5 |
| Jerry Easter II | 32 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 18 | -8.0 |
| Terrance Williams II | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Jordan Marsh | 16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Gabe Dynes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Jaden Brownell | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter