Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +10 (59-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantz Louis Jeune | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -4.7 |
| Chaze Harris | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | -12.5 |
| Stephen Williams | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | +3.8 |
| Jayden Cooper | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | +0.6 |
| Adam Olsen | 26 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | -14.4 |
| John Broom | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Brian Hawthorne | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Randy Brady | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -15.1 |
| JJ Wheat | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 37 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 23 | +11.6 |
| Coo. Campbell | 33 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +14.9 |
| Victor Valdes | 31 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +13.1 |
| Theo Seng | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +8.3 |
| Cobi Campbell | 30 | 5-12 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +7.1 |
| Austin Cross | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.2 |
* = starter