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TCU

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History
Coach: Jamie Dixon

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

77.7
PPG
72.3
Opp
+5.4
Margin
44.1%
FG%
33.6%
3P%
70.7%
FT%
36.0
RPG
15.6
APG
10.6
TO
81.8
Pace
80.9
AdjO
66.4
AdjD
#43
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1277 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1194 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1144 (#22) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +14.4 (#44) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +26.7 (#39) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.693 (#74) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.4 More → 0.627 (#138) NetEff +4.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.5 More → 0.904 (#42) AdjNet +19.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.8 More → 0.907 (#42) AdjNet +19.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.789 (#43) AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 66.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 68.1 More → 0.667 (#58) AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.928 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.905 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 33 More → 1318 (#24) RD 106 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs New Orleans Privateers L 74 - 78
2025-11-06 vs Saint Francis Red Flash W 104 - 63
2025-11-10 vs Lamar Cardinals W 78 - 65
2025-11-14 vs Michigan Wolverines L 63 - 67
2025-11-19 vs Kansas City Roos W 81 - 45
2025-11-27 @ Florida Gators W 84 - 80
2025-11-28 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 74 - 63
2025-12-05 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 85 - 87
2025-12-15 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 69 - 65
2025-12-18 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 72 - 53
2025-12-21 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 80 - 56
2025-12-29 vs Jackson State Tigers W 115 - 64
2026-01-03 vs Baylor Bears W 69 - 63
2026-01-06 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 100 - 104
2026-01-10 vs Arizona Wildcats L 73 - 86
2026-01-14 @ BYU Cougars L 70 - 76
2026-01-20 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 68 - 65
2026-01-24 @ Baylor Bears W 97 - 90
2026-01-28 vs Houston Cougars L 70 - 79
2026-02-01 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 61 - 87
2026-02-07 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 84 - 82
2026-02-10 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 62 - 55
2026-02-14 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 95 - 92
2026-02-17 @ UCF Knights L 71 - 82
2026-02-21 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 60 - 54
2026-02-24 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 90 - 78
2026-02-28 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 77 - 68
2026-03-03 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 73 - 65
2026-03-07 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 73 - 63
2026-03-11 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 95 - 88
2026-03-12 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 73 - 78
2026-03-19 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 66 - 64
2026-03-21 @ Duke Blue Devils L 58 - 81

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Punch D. Punch F 32 29.6 13.9 6.6 2.1 1.2 2.0 1.8 10.2 13.8 141 6.4 10.7 50.0 25.6 66.0 1.31 55.8 51.7
Xavier Edmonds Xavier Edmonds - 33 22.9 12.8 6.5 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.9 8.0 12.5 111 5.0 10.5 56.3 42.6 65.4 0.94 63.5 60.6
M. Robinson M. Robinson F 33 27.1 11.0 4.8 1.6 1.2 0.3 1.3 8.5 9.2 39 1.8 3.2 39.5 34.1 74.8 0.55 53.7 47.3
J. Pierre J. Pierre - 33 30.4 10.3 2.2 2.8 1.0 0.3 1.3 8.8 6.4 110 5.0 7.8 41.8 36.1 83.0 1.15 53.9 50.7
L. Lelevicius L. Lelevicius G 32 24.2 8.3 3.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 5.9 6.7 111 5.3 10.4 46.3 39.3 88.2 1.22 62.8 58.4
B. Harding B. Harding - 33 31.7 8.1 3.0 5.6 1.8 0.1 1.8 8.0 8.8 124 5.6 8.0 36.7 28.2 66.1 1.24 45.7 42.6
T. Toolson T. Toolson G 33 20.8 7.6 3.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.5 6.5 5.7 19 0.9 2.0 36.9 28.4 71.4 0.17 49.2 43.2
J. Posey J. Posey G 25 11.0 4.6 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 3.8 3.3 53 2.6 8.2 44.7 15.4 69.0 0.79 51.1 45.7
Kayden Edwards Kayden Edwards - 13 6.8 3.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.8 1.5 5 0.4 2.5 43.2 43.5 25.0 -0.45 55.5 56.8
R.J. Jones R.J. Jones - 8 7.1 2.9 0.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.5 1.5 -14 -0.5 -0.7 40.0 35.3 50.0 -0.09 55.1 55.0
V. Salatchoum V. Salatchoum C 22 5.3 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.4 0 0.0 0.0 52.4 0 66.7 -0.12 53.8 52.4
A. Simmons A. Simmons - 5 3.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 -0.2 -6 -1.5 -14.4 28.6 25.0 0 -0.2 35.7 35.7
A. Stewart A. Stewart C 5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 -5 -1.2 -48.2 100.0 0 0 -0.06 100.0 100.0
M. Diallo M. Diallo C 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -6.0 -36.9 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
T. Stuart T. Stuart G 5 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -0.2 -5 -1.2 -84.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.06 0.0 0.0
D. McElroy D. McElroy G 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 -8 -2.7 -100.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.11 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG