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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2026 Team Stats (35 games)

77.4
PPG
72.1
Opp
+5.3
Margin
44.3%
FG%
33.2%
3P%
70.4%
FT%
35.9
RPG
15.4
APG
10.7
TO
69.2
Est. poss./game
78.7
Adj PPG
65.8
Adj Opp PPG
#45
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1349 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1227 (#38) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More โ†’ 1109 (#36) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ +14.4 (#44) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +13.9 (#38) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.693 (#73) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.5 More โ†’ 0.693 (#73) NetEff +7.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.5 More โ†’ 0.905 (#41) AdjNet +19.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.8 More โ†’ 0.908 (#41) AdjNet +19.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 65.8 More โ†’ 0.765 (#45) AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 65.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 68.8 More โ†’ 0.649 (#47) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.827 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.810 (#32) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1284 (#27) RD 105 | GP 35

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers L 74 - 78
2025-11-06 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves W 104 - 63
2025-11-10 vs Lamar Cardinals W 78 - 65
2025-11-14 vs Michigan Wolverines L 63 - 67
2025-11-19 vs Kansas City Roos W 81 - 45
2025-11-27 @ Florida Gators W 84 - 80
2025-11-28 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 74 - 63
2025-12-05 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 85 - 87
2025-12-07 @ North Texas Mean Green W 65 - 55
2025-12-15 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 69 - 65
2025-12-18 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 72 - 53
2025-12-21 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 80 - 56
2025-12-29 vs Jackson State Tigers W 115 - 64
2026-01-03 vs Baylor Bears W 69 - 63
2026-01-06 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 100 - 104
2026-01-10 vs Arizona Wildcats L 73 - 86
2026-01-14 @ BYU Cougars L 70 - 76
2026-01-17 @ Utah Utes L 79 - 82
2026-01-20 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 68 - 65
2026-01-24 @ Baylor Bears W 97 - 90
2026-01-28 vs Houston Cougars L 70 - 79
2026-02-01 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 61 - 87
2026-02-07 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 84 - 82
2026-02-10 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 62 - 55
2026-02-14 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 95 - 92
2026-02-17 @ UCF Knights L 71 - 82
2026-02-21 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 60 - 54
2026-02-24 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 90 - 78
2026-02-28 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 77 - 68
2026-03-03 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 73 - 65
2026-03-07 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 73 - 63
2026-03-11 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 95 - 88
2026-03-12 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 73 - 78
2026-03-19 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 66 - 64
2026-03-21 @ Duke Blue Devils L 58 - 81

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
David Punch David Punch F 34 29.7 14.1 6.8 2.0 1.3 1.9 1.7 10.4 14.0 126 27 4.7 6.7 50.3 23.9 65.3 2.51 55.7 51.8
Xavier Edmonds Xavier Edmonds - 35 22.9 12.7 6.5 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.9 7.9 12.5 139 28 5.0 8.6 57.0 43.6 64.4 2.52 63.8 61.4
Micah Robinson Micah Robinson F 35 26.9 10.9 4.7 1.7 1.2 0.3 1.3 8.4 9.1 2 28 0.1 0.1 39.2 33.3 75.9 -1.09 53.8 46.9
Jayden Pierre Jayden Pierre - 35 30.4 10.1 2.1 2.8 1.0 0.3 1.3 8.8 6.3 119 28 4.2 5.8 41.7 35.1 81.8 2.5 53.3 50.2
Brock Harding Brock Harding - 35 31.8 8.0 2.9 5.6 1.7 0.1 1.9 7.9 8.5 107 28 3.8 5.1 37.2 28.4 64.6 1.28 46.0 43.1
Liutauras Lelevicius Liutauras Lelevicius G 34 23.7 8.0 3.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 5.8 6.4 142 27 5.3 9.4 45.7 38.0 88.7 5.23 62.0 57.4
Tanner Toolson Tanner Toolson G 35 20.9 7.7 3.2 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.5 6.6 5.7 12 28 0.4 0.8 37.0 29.1 72.6 -1.9 49.5 43.5
Jace Posey Jace Posey G 27 11.3 4.6 2.3 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 3.7 3.4 10 21 0.5 1.9 45.0 15.4 68.1 1.31 51.4 46.0
Kayden Edwards Kayden Edwards - 14 6.4 3.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.7 1.4 -9 12 -0.8 -4.6 44.7 43.5 25.0 -5.61 56.6 57.9
RJ Jones RJ Jones - 9 6.3 2.6 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.2 1.3 17 7 2.4 13.2 40.0 35.3 50.0 -1.02 55.1 55.0
Vianney Salatchoum Vianney Salatchoum C 23 5.3 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 1.0 1.4 -25 17 -1.5 -11.0 52.2 0 66.7 -4.17 53.5 52.2
Ashton Simmons Ashton Simmons - 5 3.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 -0.2 - - - - 28.6 25.0 0 -2.36 35.7 35.7
Adam Stewart Adam Stewart C 5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -1.77 100.0 100.0
Malick Diallo Malick Diallo C 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Drew McElroy Drew McElroy G 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -2.21 0.0 0.0
Trey Stuart Trey Stuart G 5 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.77 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former TCU players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2025-2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last TCU game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG
D. Bane 2016-20 NBA Orlando Magic 2 30.0 11.5 3.5 1.0
K. Williams 2014-18 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder 2 6.3 3.0 1.5 0.5
D. Baugh 2021-23 EuroLeague KOSNER BASKONIA VITORIA-GASTEIZ + G League 19 GP 7 19.1 7.4 2.0 4.4
Emanuel Miller 2021-24 G League Austin Spurs (3 teams) 26 33.7 16.1 7.2 1.6

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-10-23 D. Bane NBA Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves 27 5 2 0 Box
2026-10-22 K. Williams NBA Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets 6 3 1 1 Box
2026-10-22 D. Baugh EuroLeague REGULAR SEASON KOSNER BASKONIA VITORIA-GASTEIZ @ PANATHINAIKOS AKTOR ATHENS 31 8 2 7 Box
2026-10-21 D. Bane NBA Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks 33 18 5 2 Box
2026-10-20 K. Williams NBA Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs 7 3 2 0 Box
2026-10-16 D. Baugh EuroLeague REGULAR SEASON KOSNER BASKONIA VITORIA-GASTEIZ @ VIRTUS BOLOGNA 19 8 2 8 Box
2026-10-16 D. Bane NBA Preseason Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat 24 23 2 1 Box
2026-10-15 K. Williams NBA Preseason Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets 15 4 6 2 Box
2026-10-14 Emanuel Miller NBA Preseason Denver Nuggets @ LA Clippers 3 0 1 0 Box
2026-10-13 D. Baugh EuroLeague REGULAR SEASON KOSNER BASKONIA VITORIA-GASTEIZ vs DUBAI BASKETBALL 15 7 3 2 Box
2026-10-04 Emanuel Miller NBA Preseason Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz 3 5 1 0 Box
2026-03-28 Emanuel Miller G League Austin Spurs vs Mexico City Capitanes 33 12 5 0 Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

2143 located field-goal attempts in 35 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Punch24% Punch29% Harding38% Harding25% Pierre29% Lelevicius33% Lelevicius39% Robinson19% Pierre29% Pierre27%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Punch19% Punch29% Harding35% Harding52% Pierre28% Robinson33% Lelevicius25% Robinson20% Pierre25% Pierre24%
Misses: who misses most here

David PunchJayden PierreMicah RobinsonBrock HardingLiutauras Lelevicius

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 357-565 63.2 714 David Punch 24% (172 pts) Xavier Edmonds 20% (144 pts) David Punch 19% (40 misses) Micah Robinson 15% (31 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 257-568 45.2 514 David Punch 29% (148 pts) Xavier Edmonds 23% (118 pts) David Punch 29% (89 misses) Xavier Edmonds 15% (48 misses)
Mid-range left 40-105 38.1 80 Brock Harding 38% (30 pts) Jayden Pierre 30% (24 pts) Brock Harding 35% (23 misses) Jayden Pierre 25% (16 misses)
Mid-range center 12-39 30.8 24 Brock Harding 25% (6 pts) David Punch 17% (4 pts) Brock Harding 52% (14 misses) David Punch 15% (4 misses)
Mid-range right 28-85 32.9 56 Jayden Pierre 29% (16 pts) Brock Harding 21% (12 pts) Jayden Pierre 28% (16 misses) Brock Harding 16% (9 misses)
Left corner 3 39-93 41.9 117 Liutauras Lelevicius 33% (39 pts) Micah Robinson 23% (27 pts) Micah Robinson 33% (18 misses) Tanner Toolson 22% (12 misses)
Right corner 3 18-66 27.3 54 Liutauras Lelevicius 39% (21 pts) Micah Robinson 22% (12 pts) Liutauras Lelevicius 25% (12 misses) Jayden Pierre 15% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 89-261 34.1 267 Micah Robinson 19% (51 pts) Brock Harding 18% (48 pts) Micah Robinson 20% (34 misses) Brock Harding 18% (31 misses)
Above-break 3 center 55-147 37.4 165 Jayden Pierre 29% (48 pts) Brock Harding 16% (27 pts) Jayden Pierre 25% (23 misses) Xavier Edmonds 16% (15 misses)
Above-break 3 right 55-214 25.7 165 Jayden Pierre 27% (45 pts) Micah Robinson 15% (24 pts) Jayden Pierre 24% (38 misses) Brock Harding 18% (29 misses)