Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | -9.2 | ✗ (35.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -2.9 | ✗ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +26 (87-61). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre * | 30 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Brock Harding * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| David Punch * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -8.3 |
| Xavier Edmonds * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Liutauras Lelevicius * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tanner Toolson | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Micah Robinson | 19 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -11.6 |
| Jace Posey | 13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Kayden Edwards | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R.J. Jones | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vianney Salatchoum | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ashton Simmons | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +0.1 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Johnson * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Barrington Hargress * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Josiah Sanders * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jalin Holland * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| F. Ifaola * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Sebastian Rancik | 25 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Bangot Dak | 21 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Felix Kossaras | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ian Inman | 5 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alon Michaeli | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Elijah Malone | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Crawford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Randall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter