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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas 37 7-14 5-11 0-0 4 1 1 2 4 19 9 -10.2
Jizzle James 34 4-9 3-7 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 11 5 -1.1
Baba Miller 34 1-4 0-2 2-2 14 3 0 0 5 4 12 +2.3
Jalen Celestine 29 4-9 4-8 0-0 3 4 0 1 2 12 9 -13.8
Moustapha Thiam 28 4-8 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 1 3 8 4 -17.9
Keyshuan Tillery 14 1-3 0-0 2-4 0 4 0 0 1 4 4 +4.0
Sencire Harris 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 0 3 +2.0
Halvine Dzellat 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 +8.5
Shon Abaev 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +1.5

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Punch 33 4-6 0-0 5-6 4 7 3 0 2 13 19 +13.8
Jayden Pierre 32 7-11 1-3 3-4 5 5 2 0 1 18 18 +18.0
Brock Harding 32 2-6 0-1 3-6 1 6 0 0 1 7 7 +6.4
Micah Robinson 30 3-11 1-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 7 2 +0.7
Liutauras Lelevicius 26 4-9 2-6 4-4 4 0 1 0 1 14 9 -1.1
Xavier Edmonds 23 4-8 1-2 0-1 2 0 1 1 1 9 4 +18.9
Tanner Toolson 21 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 5 4 -8.4
Vianney Salatchoum 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1.8
Trey Stuart 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.0

* = starter