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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% - βœ“
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.2 βœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - βœ“

Actual: BYU Cougars +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brock Harding 31 4-11 0-5 0-0 2 7 1 0 2 8 5 +8.1
Xavier Edmonds 28 6-14 2-4 5-6 8 2 1 2 2 19 16 +12.5
Micah Robinson 27 4-10 1-6 1-1 6 2 0 0 0 10 8 +0.0
Tanner Toolson 27 2-7 1-5 2-2 1 1 0 2 0 7 4 +1.8
Liutauras Lelevicius 26 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 4 +7.5
David Punch 23 2-6 0-0 3-8 7 1 0 0 3 7 6 -9.7
Jayden Pierre 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 5 6 -6.4
Jace Posey 16 3-5 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 +2.0

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Wright III 39 5-14 1-3 4-4 6 6 0 0 2 15 11 +3.6
Kennard Davis Jr. 36 1-7 0-4 0-0 6 0 3 0 0 2 4 -4.1
AJ Dybantsa 33 8-22 2-7 7-7 6 1 0 0 2 25 8 +14.7
Keba Keita 27 3-4 0-0 1-3 10 2 1 3 0 7 19 +5.1
Richie Saunders 26 4-12 1-6 9-11 6 1 0 0 1 18 12 -2.4
Khadim Mboup 15 0-3 0-1 1-3 8 0 1 0 1 1 6 -3.3
Mihailo Boskovic 15 3-5 1-2 1-1 4 1 0 1 2 8 7 -3.5
Tyler Mrus 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.6
Aleksej Kostić 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.1
Dominique Diomande 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter