Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | +5.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -12 (97-109). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George * | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Darryn Peterson * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Mo Bamba * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 9 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 21 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Blake Hinson | 16 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ace Bailey | 15 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Collier | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Tamar Bates | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Alexander | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Harrison Ingram | 12 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jonas Aidoo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyus Jones * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 15 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Christian Braun * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 10 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Trevon Brazile | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 19 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Zeke Nnaji | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Cam Whitmore | 14 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Alpha Diallo | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bryce Hopkins | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II | 11 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Dane Goodwin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emanuel Miller | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Coleman Hawkins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter