Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +41 (104-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Russell * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -20.2 |
| Skylar Wicks * | 34 | 6-17 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | -17.5 |
| Gestin Liberis * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Brandon Russell * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | -10.0 |
| Chris Moncrief * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Ralph Martino Jr. | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -13.9 |
| Cameron Tweedy | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -11.9 |
| Ahmad Harrison | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -11.3 |
| Victor Payne | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
| KJ Swain Jr. | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Trey Weiand | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Melvin Weaver III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.4 |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Harding * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +11.7 |
| David Punch * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 19 | +15.4 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +22.8 |
| Jayden Pierre * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +15.8 |
| Xavier Edmonds * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | +3.5 |
| Micah Robinson | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 21 | +11.6 |
| Tanner Toolson | 18 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 15 | +14.2 |
| Jace Posey | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Vianney Salatchoum | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Kayden Edwards | 10 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Ashton Simmons | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -10.0 |
| R.J. Jones | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5.3 |
| Adam Stewart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.5 |
| Trey Stuart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.5 |
| Drew McElroy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.6 |
* = starter